Africa Dairy Alternatives Market Size
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Study Period | 2017 - 2029 |
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Market Size (2024) | USD 457.4 Million |
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Market Size (2029) | USD 641 Million |
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Largest Share by Distribution Channel | Off-Trade |
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CAGR (2024 - 2029) | 6.98 % |
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Largest Share by Country | South Africa |
Major Players |
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*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order |
Africa Dairy Alternatives Market Analysis
The Africa Dairy Alternatives Market size is estimated at 457.4 million USD in 2024, and is expected to reach 641 million USD by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 6.98% during the forecast period (2024-2029).
457.4 Million
Market Size in 2024 (USD)
641 Million
Market Size in 2029 (USD)
6.23 %
CAGR (2017-2023)
6.98 %
CAGR (2024-2029)
Largest Market by Category
75.69 %
value share, Non-Dairy Butter, 2023
A steady increase in consumer awareness levels about the consumption of non-dairy foods, and the impact of animal husbandry on the environment are the key factors driving the segment.
Largest Market by Country
48.31 %
value share, South Africa, 2023
Rising cases of lactose intolerance, increasing health consciousness among consumers, and changing lifestyles are expected to bolster the growth of the dairy alternatives in South Africa.
Fastest-growing Market by Category
30.87 %
Projected CAGR, Non-Dairy Yogurt, 2024-2029
The health benefits of non dairy yogurt, such as helping to lose weight, promoting metobolism, and reducing inflammation are some of the factors contributing to segmental growth.
Fastest-growing Market by Country
7.09 %
Projected CAGR, Nigeria, 2024-2029
The rising health consciousness with needed improvement in protein and nutrient content in the diet has emerged to be the major fcator driving the country in the market.
Leading Market Player
2.36 %
market share, Blue Diamond Growers, 2022
The immense research and development activities by the player in the market which is letting it to innovate various products in the segment making it leading player.
Supermarkets and hypermarkets witness a soaring sales growth fueled by enhanced diversity in dairy alternatives aisle
- Supermarkets and hypermarkets are the region's leading off-trade distribution channels for dairy alternatives in Africa. In 2022, volume sales of dairy alternatives across the supermarkets and hypermarkets sub-segment accounted for 50% of sales through off-trade channels. Sales through supermarkets and hypermarkets are anticipated to expand at a value of 23% during the period 2024-2027 to reach a market value of USD 272.28 million in 2027. Consumer preference for these channels is driven by seasonal offers, discounts on bulk purchases, and access to diversified products through a dedicated section of dairy alternative products.
- Convenience stores are the second most widely preferred off-trade distribution channels after supermarkets and hypermarkets to purchase dairy alternatives. The sub-segment accounted for a 36% share of the overall volume sales conducted through off-trade channels in 2022. The broader reach and easy access to private-label brands drive consumer preferences for traditional grocery stores over other retail channels. The sales value of dairy alternatives through convenience stores is anticipated to grow by 22% from 2024 to 2027.
- The sales of dairy alternatives through online channels are projected to record the highest growth in value, amounting to 49.5%, during 2023-2026. The increasing number of internet users influences the evolving role of online channels in dairy alternative product purchases. Internet use in Africa increased by 23% from 2019 to 2021. As of December 2021, the internet penetration rate in Africa was 43%. The increasing number of grocery delivery apps across key countries such as Egypt and South Africa is also anticipated to drive sales through online channels during the forecast period.
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Rising inclination towards Veganuary options driven by South Africa's and Egypt consumers is fueling the market growth
- Egypt and South Africa were the major regional markets for dairy alternatives, collectively accounting for a 66% share of volume sales across Africa in 2022. The growing consumer inclination toward plant-based food and the consumption of dairy alternatives, such as plant-based milk and cheese, to meet the protein and essential nutrients needs are the key factors expected to accelerate the growth of the dairy alternatives industry across the region.
- In South Africa, dairy alternative sales are estimated to expand by a value of 23% during the period 2024-2027, reaching USD 273.6 million in 2027. The growth can be attributed to the increasing veganism in the country. South Africa is among the top 30 countries worldwide in terms of its vegan population. Over 30,000 South Africans have signed up for Veganuary since 2019. Plant-based milk, such as soy and almond milk, is highly preferred in South Africa. The per capita consumption of soy milk in South Africa is expected to reach 0.07 kg in 2023.
- Sales of dairy alternatives in the rest of Africa's regional segment are estimated to grow by a value of 22% during the period 2023-2026. Countries such as Algeria, Kenya, and Ghana are contributing to the growth of the regional segment. Most countries, including Ghana, Malawi, and Zambia, are expected to have over 98-100% of their population suffering from lactose intolerance by 2023. There have also been initiatives to support vegan food, which are fueling market growth. For instance, people in Uganda often contract infections from producing and consuming animal products. To avoid or reduce the consumption of animal-based products and increase the consumption of plant-based foods, Atlas Vegan Community started the first vegan school to protect children from zoonotic disease.
Africa Dairy Alternatives Market Trends
The consumption of dairy alternative products in Africa is increasing due to the growing vegan population, rising prevalence of lactose intolerance, and increased awareness of nutritional choices among consumers
- The consumption of different types of dairy alternative products in Africa has increased over the past few years due to the growing vegan population. For example, most South Africans are experimenting with the vegetarian way of life by cutting all dairy and meat out of their diet. Vegan exhibitions/trade shows and music festivals are being conducted in the country to promote a vegan lifestyle. Improved animal welfare and increasing government initiatives to strengthen this awareness are the other key factors boosting the consumption of dairy alternatives.
- The growing prevalence of lactose intolerance is another reason consumers switch to dairy alternatives. For example, in most African countries like South Africa, Angola, Cameroon, Ghana, Nigeria, and Uganda, more than 80% of the population faces lactose intolerance issues.
- Over the past few years, consumers in the region have become increasingly aware of their nutritional choices. Due to their busy lifestyles, their purchasing decision depends on the product's nutritional value, driving the demand for plant-based milk in the region. Consumers, especially those allergic to milk, are keen to consume plant-based milk products. Among the different plant-based milk, soy and almond milk held the majority share across the region in 2022. The per capita consumption of non-dairy butter is expected to increase by 1.21% during 2023-2024. The key motivations for consumers to adopt non-dairy butter are a concern for animals or sustainability, followed by a change in dietary habits. However, other dairy alternative product categories like yogurt, cheese, and ice cream are still in the nascent stage.
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OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT
- The production of oilseeds, particularly soybeans and groundnuts, has increased in Africa due to rising oilseed prices, driving the dairy alternative industry
Africa Dairy Alternatives Industry Overview
The Africa Dairy Alternatives Market is fragmented, with the top five companies occupying 5.54%. The major players in this market are Blue Diamond Growers, Good Hope International Beverages (Pty) Ltd, Green Spot Co. Ltd, Juhayna Food Industries and The Kroger Co. (sorted alphabetically).
Africa Dairy Alternatives Market Leaders
Blue Diamond Growers
Good Hope International Beverages (Pty) Ltd
Green Spot Co. Ltd
Juhayna Food Industries
The Kroger Co.
Other important companies include Danone SA, Dewfresh Pty Ltd, Earth&Co, Jetlak Foods Limited, SunOpta Inc., Yokos Pty Ltd.
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in alphabetical order.
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Africa Dairy Alternatives Market News
- April 2022: SunOpta Inc. acquired Dream and WestSoy plant-based beverages brands from the Hain Celestial Group. The company currently produces the entire WestSoy product portfolio.
- October 2021: Danone launched Greek Style Coconutmilk Yogurt under its Silk brand.
- January 2021: Juhayna Food Industries (JUFO) launched its Plant-based segment, N&G, which includes natural and vegan products. The product line includes oat, almond, coconut, and hazelnut milk.
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We provide a comprehensive and exhaustive set of data pointers for global, regional, and country-level metrics that illustrate the fundamentals of the dairy alternatives industry. With the help of 45+ free charts, clients can access in-depth market analysis based on per capita consumption numbers and production data of raw materials for dairy alternatives, through granular level segmental information supported by a repository of market data, trends, and expert analysis. Data and analysis on dairy alternative products, categories of dairy alternative products, product types, etc., are available in the form of comprehensive reports as well as excel based data worksheets.
Africa Dairy Alternatives Market Report - Table of Contents
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY & KEY FINDINGS
2. REPORT OFFERS
3. INTRODUCTION
- 3.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
- 3.2 Scope of the Study
- 3.3 Research Methodology
4. KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS
- 4.1 Per Capita Consumption
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4.2 Raw Material/commodity Production
- 4.2.1 Dairy Alternative - Raw Material Production
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4.3 Regulatory Framework
- 4.3.1 Egypt
- 4.3.2 South Africa
- 4.4 Value Chain & Distribution Channel Analysis
5. MARKET SEGMENTATION (includes market size in Value in USD and Volume, Forecasts up to 2029 and analysis of growth prospects)
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5.1 Category
- 5.1.1 Non-Dairy Butter
- 5.1.2 Non-Dairy Milk
- 5.1.2.1 By Product Type
- 5.1.2.1.1 Almond Milk
- 5.1.2.1.2 Coconut Milk
- 5.1.2.1.3 Oat Milk
- 5.1.2.1.4 Soy Milk
- 5.1.3 Non-Dairy Yogurt
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5.2 Distribution Channel
- 5.2.1 Off-Trade
- 5.2.1.1 Convenience Stores
- 5.2.1.2 Online Retail
- 5.2.1.3 Specialist Retailers
- 5.2.1.4 Supermarkets and Hypermarkets
- 5.2.1.5 Others (Warehouse clubs, gas stations, etc.)
- 5.2.2 On-Trade
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5.3 Country
- 5.3.1 Egypt
- 5.3.2 Nigeria
- 5.3.3 South Africa
- 5.3.4 Rest of Africa
6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
- 6.1 Key Strategic Moves
- 6.2 Market Share Analysis
- 6.3 Company Landscape
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6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Business Segments, Financials, Headcount, Key Information, Market Rank, Market Share, Products and Services, and Analysis of Recent Developments).
- 6.4.1 Blue Diamond Growers
- 6.4.2 Danone SA
- 6.4.3 Dewfresh Pty Ltd
- 6.4.4 Earth&Co
- 6.4.5 Good Hope International Beverages (Pty) Ltd
- 6.4.6 Green Spot Co. Ltd
- 6.4.7 Jetlak Foods Limited
- 6.4.8 Juhayna Food Industries
- 6.4.9 SunOpta Inc.
- 6.4.10 The Kroger Co.
- 6.4.11 Yokos Pty Ltd
7. KEY STRATEGIC QUESTIONS FOR DAIRY AND DAIRY ALTERNATIVE CEOS
8. APPENDIX
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8.1 Global Overview
- 8.1.1 Overview
- 8.1.2 Porter’s Five Forces Framework
- 8.1.3 Global Value Chain Analysis
- 8.1.4 Market Dynamics (DROs)
- 8.2 Sources & References
- 8.3 List of Tables & Figures
- 8.4 Primary Insights
- 8.5 Data Pack
- 8.6 Glossary of Terms
List of Tables & Figures
- Figure 1:
- PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES, KG, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 2:
- PRODUCTION VOLUME OF AFRICA DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET - RAW MATERIAL, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2021
- Figure 3:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES, METRIC TONNES, BY AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 4:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES, USD MN, BY AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 5:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET BY CATEGORY, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 6:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET BY CATEGORY, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 7:
- VOLUME SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY CATEGORY , %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 8:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY CATEGORY , %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 9:
- VOLUME OF MILK MARKET BY PRODUCT TYPE, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 10:
- VALUE OF MILK MARKET BY PRODUCT TYPE, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 11:
- VOLUME SHARE OF MILK MARKET BY PRODUCT TYPE, %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 12:
- VALUE SHARE OF MILK MARKET BY PRODUCT TYPE, %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 13:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY BUTTER MARKET, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 14:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY BUTTER MARKET, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 15:
- VALUE SHARE OF NON-DAIRY BUTTER MARKET, BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL, %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 16:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY MILK MARKET BY PRODUCT TYPE, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 17:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY MILK MARKET BY PRODUCT TYPE, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 18:
- VOLUME SHARE OF NON-DAIRY MILK MARKET BY PRODUCT TYPE, %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 19:
- VALUE SHARE OF NON-DAIRY MILK MARKET BY PRODUCT TYPE, %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 20:
- VOLUME OF ALMOND MILK MARKET, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 21:
- VALUE OF ALMOND MILK MARKET, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 22:
- VALUE SHARE OF ALMOND MILK MARKET, BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL, %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 23:
- VOLUME OF COCONUT MILK MARKET, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 24:
- VALUE OF COCONUT MILK MARKET, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 25:
- VALUE SHARE OF COCONUT MILK MARKET, BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL, %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 26:
- VOLUME OF OAT MILK MARKET, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 27:
- VALUE OF OAT MILK MARKET, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 28:
- VALUE SHARE OF OAT MILK MARKET, BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL, %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 29:
- VOLUME OF SOY MILK MARKET, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 30:
- VALUE OF SOY MILK MARKET, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 31:
- VALUE SHARE OF SOY MILK MARKET, BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL, %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 32:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY YOGURT MARKET, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 33:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY YOGURT MARKET, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 34:
- VALUE SHARE OF NON-DAIRY YOGURT MARKET, BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL, %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 35:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 36:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 37:
- VOLUME SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL , %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 38:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL , %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 39:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET BY SUB DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 40:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET BY SUB DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 41:
- VOLUME SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY SUB DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS , %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 42:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY SUB DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS , %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 43:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA CONVENIENCE STORES, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 44:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA CONVENIENCE STORES, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 45:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, SOLD VIA CONVENIENCE STORES, BY CATEGORY , %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 46:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA ONLINE RETAIL, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 47:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA ONLINE RETAIL, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 48:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, SOLD VIA ONLINE RETAIL, BY CATEGORY , %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 49:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA SPECIALIST RETAILERS, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 50:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA SPECIALIST RETAILERS, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 51:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, SOLD VIA SPECIALIST RETAILERS, BY CATEGORY , %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 52:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA SUPERMARKETS AND HYPERMARKETS, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 53:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA SUPERMARKETS AND HYPERMARKETS, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 54:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, SOLD VIA SUPERMARKETS AND HYPERMARKETS, BY CATEGORY , %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 55:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA OTHERS (WAREHOUSE CLUBS, GAS STATIONS, ETC.), METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 56:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA OTHERS (WAREHOUSE CLUBS, GAS STATIONS, ETC.), USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 57:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, SOLD VIA OTHERS (WAREHOUSE CLUBS, GAS STATIONS, ETC.), BY CATEGORY , %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 58:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA ON-TRADE, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 59:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET SOLD VIA ON-TRADE, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 60:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, SOLD VIA ON-TRADE, BY CATEGORY , %, AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 61:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET BY COUNTRY, METRIC TONNES, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 62:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET BY COUNTRY, USD MN, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 63:
- VOLUME SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY COUNTRY , %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 64:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY COUNTRY , %, AFRICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 65:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, METRIC TONNES, EGYPT, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 66:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, USD MN, EGYPT, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 67:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY CATEGORY , %, EGYPT, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 68:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, METRIC TONNES, NIGERIA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 69:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, USD MN, NIGERIA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 70:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY CATEGORY , %, NIGERIA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 71:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, METRIC TONNES, SOUTH AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 72:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, USD MN, SOUTH AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 73:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY CATEGORY , %, SOUTH AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 74:
- VOLUME OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, METRIC TONNES, REST OF AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 75:
- VALUE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, USD MN, REST OF AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 76:
- VALUE SHARE OF DAIRY ALTERNATIVES MARKET, BY CATEGORY , %, REST OF AFRICA, 2022 VS 2029
- Figure 77:
- MOST ACTIVE COMPANIES BY NUMBER OF STRATEGIC MOVES, COUNT, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 78:
- MOST ADOPTED STRATEGIES, COUNT, AFRICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 79:
- VALUE SHARE OF MAJOR PLAYERS, %, AFRICA, 2022
Africa Dairy Alternatives Industry Segmentation
Non-Dairy Butter, Non-Dairy Milk, Non-Dairy Yogurt are covered as segments by Category. Off-Trade, On-Trade are covered as segments by Distribution Channel. Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa are covered as segments by Country.
- Supermarkets and hypermarkets are the region's leading off-trade distribution channels for dairy alternatives in Africa. In 2022, volume sales of dairy alternatives across the supermarkets and hypermarkets sub-segment accounted for 50% of sales through off-trade channels. Sales through supermarkets and hypermarkets are anticipated to expand at a value of 23% during the period 2024-2027 to reach a market value of USD 272.28 million in 2027. Consumer preference for these channels is driven by seasonal offers, discounts on bulk purchases, and access to diversified products through a dedicated section of dairy alternative products.
- Convenience stores are the second most widely preferred off-trade distribution channels after supermarkets and hypermarkets to purchase dairy alternatives. The sub-segment accounted for a 36% share of the overall volume sales conducted through off-trade channels in 2022. The broader reach and easy access to private-label brands drive consumer preferences for traditional grocery stores over other retail channels. The sales value of dairy alternatives through convenience stores is anticipated to grow by 22% from 2024 to 2027.
- The sales of dairy alternatives through online channels are projected to record the highest growth in value, amounting to 49.5%, during 2023-2026. The increasing number of internet users influences the evolving role of online channels in dairy alternative product purchases. Internet use in Africa increased by 23% from 2019 to 2021. As of December 2021, the internet penetration rate in Africa was 43%. The increasing number of grocery delivery apps across key countries such as Egypt and South Africa is also anticipated to drive sales through online channels during the forecast period.
| Category | Non-Dairy Butter | ||
| Non-Dairy Milk | By Product Type | Almond Milk | |
| Coconut Milk | |||
| Oat Milk | |||
| Soy Milk | |||
| Non-Dairy Yogurt | |||
| Distribution Channel | Off-Trade | Convenience Stores | |
| Online Retail | |||
| Specialist Retailers | |||
| Supermarkets and Hypermarkets | |||
| Others (Warehouse clubs, gas stations, etc.) | |||
| Distribution Channel | On-Trade | ||
| Country | Egypt | ||
| Nigeria | |||
| South Africa | |||
| Rest of Africa |
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Market Definition
- Dairy Alternatives - Dairy alternatives are foods that are made from plant-based milk/oils instead of their usual animal products, such as cheese, butter, milk, ice cream, yogurt, etc. Plant-based or non-dairy milk alternative is the fast-growing segment in the newer food product development category of functional and specialty beverage across the globe.
- Non-Dairy Butter - Non dairy butter is a vegan butter alternative that is made from a mixture of plant oils. With an increase in alternative diets like vegetarianism, veganism, and gluten intolerance, plant butter is a healthy non-dairy substitute for normal butter.
- Non-Dairy Ice Cream - Plant based ice cream is a growing category. Non-dairy ice cream is a type of dessert made without any animal ingredients. This is typically considered a substitute for regular ice cream for those who cannot or do not eat animal or animal-derived products, including eggs, milk, cream, or honey.
- Plant-Based Milk - Plant based milks are milk substitutes that are made from nuts (e.g., hazelnuts, hemp seeds), seeds (e.g., sesame, walnuts, coconuts, cashews, almonds, rice, oats, etc.) or legumes (e.g., soy). Plant-based milk such as soy milk and almond milk have been popular in East Asia and the Middle East for centuries.
| Keyword | Definition |
|---|---|
| Cultured Butter | Cultured butter is prepared by having the raw butter go through chemical processing and has been added with certain emulsifiers and foreign ingredients. |
| Uncultured Butter | This type of butter is one which has not been processed in any way |
| Natural Cheese | The type of cheese in its most natural form. It is made from natural and simple products and ingredients, including fresh and natural salts, natural colors, enzymes, and high-quality milk. |
| Processed Cheese | Processed cheese undergoes the same processes as natural cheese; however, it requires more steps and many different forms of ingredients. Making processed cheese involves melting natural cheese, emulsifying it, and adding preservatives and other artificial ingredients or colorings. |
| Single Cream | Single cream contains around 18% fat. It’s a single layer of cream that appears over boiled milk. |
| Double Cream | Double cream contains 48% fat, more than double the amount of fat of single cream. It’s heavier and thicker than single cream |
| Whipping Cream | This has a much higher fat percentage than single cream (36%). Used to top cakes, pies, and puddings and as a thickener for sauces, soups, and fillings. |
| Frozen Desserts | Desserts that are meant to be eaten in frozen condition. E.g., sherbets, sorbets, frozen yogurts |
| UHT Milk (Ultra-high temperature milk) | Milk heated at a very high temperature. Ultra-high-temperature processing (UHT) of milk involves heating for 1–8 sec at 135–154°C. which kills the spore-forming pathogenic microorganism, resulting in a product with a shelf-life of several months. |
| Non-dairy butter/Plant-based butter | Butter made from plant-derived oil such as coconut, palm, etc. |
| Non-dairy Yogurt | Yogurt made from typically made from nuts, like almonds, cashews, coconuts, and even other foods like soybeans, plantains, oats, and peas |
| On-trade | It refers to restaurants, QSRs, and bars. |
| Off-trade | It refers to supermarkets, hypermarkets, on-line channels, etc. |
| Neufchatel cheese | One of the oldest kinds of cheese in France. It is a soft, slightly crumbly, mold-ripened, bloomy-rind cheese made in the Neufchâtel-en-Bray region of Normandy. |
| Flexitarian | It refers to a consumer preferring a semi-vegetarian diet, that is centered on plant foods with limited or occasional inclusion of meat. |
| Lactose Intolerance | Lactose intolerance is a reaction in digestive system to lactose, the sugar in milk. It causes uncomfortable symptoms in response to the consumption of dairy products. |
| Cream Cheese | Cream cheese is a soft and creamy fresh cheese with a tangy taste made from milk and cream. |
| Sorbets | Sorbet is a frozen dessert made using ice combined with fruit juice, fruit purée, or other ingredients, such as wine, liqueur, or honey. |
| Sherbet | Sherbet is a sweetened frozen dessert made with fruit and some sort of dairy product such as milk or cream. |
| Shelf stable | Foods that can be safely stored at room temperature, or "on the shelf," for at least one year and do not have to be cooked or refrigerated to eat safely. |
| DSD | Direct Store Delivery is the process in supply chain management wherein the product is delivered from manufacturing plant directly to the retailer. |
| OU Kosher | Orthodox Union Kosher is a kosher certification agency based in New York City. |
| Gelato | Gelato is a frozen creamy dessert made with milk, heavy cream and sugar. |
| Grass-fed Cows | Grass-fed cows are allowed to graze in pastures, where they eat a variety of grasses and clover. |
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Research Methodology
Mordor Intelligence follows a four-step methodology in all our reports.
- Step-1: Identify Key Variables: In order to build a robust forecasting methodology, the variables and factors identified in Step 1 are tested against available historical market numbers. Through an iterative process, the variables required for market forecast are set, and the model is built on the basis of these variables.
- Step-2: Build a Market Model: Market-size estimations for the forecast years are in nominal terms. Inflation is not a part of the pricing, and the average selling price (ASP) is kept constant throughout the forecast period for each country.
- Step-3: Validate and Finalize: In this important step, all market numbers, variables, and analyst calls are validated through an extensive network of primary research experts from the market studied. The respondents are selected across levels and functions to generate a holistic picture of the market studied.
- Step-4: Research Outputs: Syndicated Reports, Custom Consulting Assignments, Databases & Subscription Platforms
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