Canada Downstream Oil and Gas Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)

The report covers Canada Downstream Oil and Gas Companies and the market is segmented by Process Type (Refineries and Petrochemical Plants). The market size and forecasts are provided in refining capacity (million barrels per day) for all the above segments.

Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market Size

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Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market Summary
Study Period 2021 - 2029
Base Year For Estimation 2023
Forecast Data Period 2024 - 2029
Historical Data Period 2021 - 2022
CAGR 1.10 %
Market Concentration Medium

Major Players

Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market Major Players

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

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Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market Analysis

The Canadian oil and gas downstream market is expected to witness a CAGR of more than 1.1% during the forecast period.

The market was negatively impacted by COVID-19 in 2020. However, it has now reached pre-pandemic levels.

  • Canada's rise in population, urbanization, and industrialization is expected to drive the oil and gas downstream market during the forecast period.
  • On the other hand, the growing share of fuel-efficient vehicles and increasing penetration of electric vehicles and renewables are expected to hinder the market growth during the forecast period.
  • Nevertheless, with the increasing demand for oil and gas, the country is planning to increase its market share by creating an impact on its oil and oil-based products. The country is also planning to expand its downstream markets, such as oil refining and others. This, in turn, is expected to create a significant opportunity for the payers involved in the market in the near future.

Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market Trends

This section covers the major market trends shaping the Canada Oil & Gas Downstream Market according to our research experts:

Canada’s Refining Sector is Expected to Dominate the Market

  • According to the Canadian Association for Petroleum Producers (CAPP), as of 2021, Canada had 17 refineries in total. Eastern Canada's eight refineries have 1.2 million b/d, and Western Canada's nine refineries have a total capacity of 748,000 b/d. Processing and purifying raw crude oil and selling and transporting refined products completes the life cycle of the downstream oil and gas industry.
  • Fertilizers and pesticides made for the agriculture industry, fuel oils made for the automotive industry, plastics, lubricants, and synthetic rubber made for the processing industries, and complex chemicals made for the pharmaceutical industries are all dependent on the supply by the downstream oil and gas sector.
  • As of 2021, Canada's total refining capacity was 1,954 thousand barrels per day. Quebec and Atlantic Canada had the most refining capacity at 782 Mb/d, followed by western Canada at 686 Mb/d and Ontario at 390 Mb/d.
  • As of 2021, there were no new refineries in the country, and the refining capacity almost remained constant until 2019. The USD 9.7 billion worth of Sturgeon refinery that came online in 2020 pushed the country's refining capacity by approximately 5.3% over the previous year's value. With the completion of the Sturgeon refinery, the total number of refineries in Canada stood at 17 by the end of 2021.
  • In July 2022, Irving Oil announced plans to expand its hydrogen capacity at its Saint John refinery, enabling the company to offer hydrogen fuelling infrastructure throughout Atlantic Canada, making it the first company in its region to do so. As a result of formalizing an agreement to purchase a hydrogen electrolyzer, Irving Oil will be the first oil refinery in Canada and one of the first in North America to invest in such a clean energy solution.
  • Such investments in the refining sector are expected to grow significantly and bring several projects online, thereby driving the market.
Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market : Refining Capacity, in Thousand barrels per day, Canada, 2011-2021

Growing Fleet of EVs is Expected to Hinder the Market Growth

  • Technology change and government policies to encourage EV adoption are the most uncertain factors affecting the market's growth. Government policies incentivizing or mandating EVs or alternatives are likely to reduce oil demand.
  • Canada's EV industry is expected to grow by 28% yearly, paving the way for a cleaner future. Various policies and incentives, lower vehicle prices, increased driving range, faster charging times, and zero emissions are expected to boost up EV market.
  • Canada's EV industry continues to grow in areas like battery development and manufacturing, power train and systems integration, clean electricity production, and mining.
  • Canada has a Zero-Emission Vehicle target of 10% of light-duty vehicle sales by 2025, 30% by 2030, and 100% by 2040.
  • During 2021, the number of battery electric cars sold in Canada (often referred to as BEVs) increased by about 59,400 units, a significant increase of approximately 61% since the previous year, when 36,900 units were registered.
  • The aforementioned factors are expected to hinder the growth of the conventional IC engine-based vehicles market, which, in turn, is expected to impact petroleum products such as diesel and petrol directly.
Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market : New Registrations of Battery Electric Cars, in Thousands, Canada, 2012-2021

Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Industry Overview

Canada's oil and gas downstream market is moderately consolidated. Some of the key players in this market companies (in no particular order) include Imperial Oil Ltd, Suncor Energy Inc., Royal Dutch Shell PLC, Husky Energy Inc., and Irving Oil Ltd.

Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market Leaders

  1. Imperial Oil Ltd

  2. Suncor Energy Inc.

  3. Royal Dutch Shell Plc

  4. Husky Energy Inc.

  5. Irving Oil Ltd

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

Imperial Oil Ltd, Suncor Energy Inc., Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Husky Energy Inc., Irving Oil Ltd.
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Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market News

  • May 2022: Inter Pipeline Ltd announced that it is partnering with ITOCHU Corporation and PETRONAS Energy Canada Ltd to evaluate the development of world-scale integrated blue ammonia and blue methanol production facilities.
  • Nov 2021: Northern Petrochemical Corporation announced plans to construct a USD 2.5 billion carbon-neutral ammonia and methanol production facility in Alberta's Grand Prairie region. This facility will be located within the Greenview Industrial Gateway.

Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market Report - Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4. MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Refining Capacity and Forecast in million barrels per day, till 2027
  • 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.5 Key Projects Information
  • 4.6 Market Dynamics
    • 4.6.1 Drivers
    • 4.6.2 Restraints
  • 4.7 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.8 PESTLE Analysis

5. MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 Process Type
    • 5.1.1 Refineries
    • 5.1.2 Petrochemical Plants

6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 Imperial Oil Ltd
    • 6.3.2 Suncor Energy Inc.
    • 6.3.3 Royal Dutch Shell PLC
    • 6.3.4 Husky Energy Inc.
    • 6.3.5 Irving Oil Ltd
  • *List Not Exhaustive

7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS

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Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Industry Segmentation

Oil and gas downstream are refining petroleum crude oil, processing and purifying raw natural gas, and marketing and distributing products.

Canada's oil and gas downstream market is segmented by process type. By process type, the market is segmented into refineries and petrochemical plants. The report also covers the market size and forecasts for the Canadian oil and gas downstream market. For each segment, the market sizing and forecasts have been done based on refining capacity (million barrels per day).

Process Type Refineries
Petrochemical Plants
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Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market Research FAQs

The Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market is projected to register a CAGR of greater than 1.10% during the forecast period (2024-2029)

Imperial Oil Ltd , Suncor Energy Inc. , Royal Dutch Shell Plc , Husky Energy Inc. and Irving Oil Ltd are the major companies operating in the Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market.

The report covers the Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market historical market size for years: 2021, 2022 and 2023. The report also forecasts the Canada Oil and Gas Downstream Market size for years: 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029.

Canada Downstream Oil and Gas Industry Report

Statistics for the 2024 Canada Downstream Oil and Gas market share, size and revenue growth rate, created by Mordor Intelligence™ Industry Reports. Canada Downstream Oil and Gas analysis includes a market forecast outlook 2029 and historical overview. Get a sample of this industry analysis as a free report PDF download.

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Canada Downstream Oil and Gas Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)