China Same Day Delivery Market Size
Icons | Lable | Value |
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Study Period | 2017 - 2030 | |
Market Size (2024) | USD 30.18 Billion | |
Market Size (2030) | USD 49.08 Billion | |
Largest Share by Destination | Domestic | |
CAGR (2024 - 2030) | 8.44 % | |
Fastest Growing by Destination | International | |
Major Players |
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*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order |
China Same Day Delivery Market Analysis
The China Same Day Delivery Market size is estimated at 30.18 billion USD in 2024, and is expected to reach 49.08 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 8.44% during the forecast period (2024-2030).
30.18 Billion
Market Size in 2024 (USD)
49.08 Billion
Market Size in 2030 (USD)
7.10 %
CAGR (2017-2023)
8.44 %
CAGR (2024-2030)
Fastest Growing Market by End User Industry
8.69 %
Projected CAGR, Wholesale and Retail Trade (Offline), 2024-2030
The instant retail business in China is expected to register a CAGR of 36% up to 2025, which is expected to drive the demand for same-day delivery services.
Fastest Growing Market by Shipment Weight
9.16 %
Projected CAGR, Light Weight Shipments, 2024-2030
The delivery of groceries is dominating the segment, wherein leading players are providing delivery within minutes to hours in the city.
Largest Market by Shipment Weight
76.07 %
value share, Light Weight Shipments, 2023
Same-day delivery demand for goods like pharmaceutical products, apparel, and groceries is dominating the lightweight shipment segment.
Largest Market by End User Industry
53.37 %
value share, E-Commerce, 2023
China’s e-commerce market is well supported by established delivery networks and systems facilitating prompt deliveries despite the vast size and scale of the country.
First leading Market player
16.76 %
market share, China Post, 2022
In the majority of the regions in China, China Post uses unmanned delivery vehicles developed by the company to offer delivery services.
Established networks to meet the increasing demand for same day deliveries are driving the growth of the segment
- In 2022, the total volume of express deliveries, which also majorly include same day deliveries, accounted for about 80% of the total volume of the postal industry's delivery business, with the majority being same day deliveries. The cumulative revenue from express deliveries also increased by 2.3% YoY in 2022 due to recurring lockdowns, which increased demand for quick and same day deliveries, specifically for essential goods. Also, in 2022, the eastern, central, and western areas accounted for 76.8%, 15.7%, and 7.5% of the total volume of express delivery business, respectively. In alignment with this increasing demand, Cainiao Network, the logistics network of China's Alibaba Group Holding Ltd launched half-day express delivery service in Beijing in 2023.
- Major cross-border e-commerce platforms in China are TMall Global & Kaola, JD Worldwide (Jd.com's cross-border e-commerce platform), and Vipshop, accounting for 80% of the cross-border e-commerce traffic. Of this, Alibaba-owned overseas shopping e-commerce platforms like TMall Global & Kaola provide same day deliveries, and they captured 60% of China's cross-border import online retail market as of 2021. JD.com delivers approximately 90% of orders on the same or next day via a network of its 1,500 warehouses that include small to medium-sized and cross-border warehouses.
- The government aims to establish a more pragmatic logistics network by 2035, specifically for domestic and international same day and express deliveries. Deliveries of packages via this network aim to take one day in China, two days to customers in adjacent nations, and three days to major cities worldwide. For this, 80 logistical hubs are expected to be operational to manage local and international express mail deliveries by 2035.
China Same Day Delivery Market Trends
E-commerce logistics flourished in China, with the index rising to 104.3 points in 2022, fueling industry supply chain
- China is the world's largest logistics market, propelled by favorable logistics prospects and strong business fundamentals. The Chinese government allocated a significant investment of CNY 181.6 billion (USD 24.94 billion) in 2021 toward the logistics sector. This substantial backing has translated into a doubled market value for China's logistics industry, soaring beyond CNY 335 trillion (USD 46.02 trillion) in 2021. This expansion is intricately tied to the thriving domestic and cross-border e-commerce activities currently surging in the country.
- E-commerce logistics in China experienced a rebound in May 2022, with the index increasing by 2.1 points to 104.3 from April. This improvement was driven by various policies implemented by China, including efforts to eliminate transportation bottlenecks and ease the operational challenges faced by logistics companies. Shanghai, in particular, initiated an action plan aimed at accelerating economic recovery. The plan includes measures to stabilize industrial and supply chains in the Yangtze River Delta region and enhance the efficiency of domestic and international logistics and transportation networks.
- The transportation and storage sector in China experienced a significant decrease in YoY growth, dropping from 19.32% in 2021 to 2.58% in 2022. This decline was primarily attributed to a 40% reduction in China's manufacturing orders, which had a notable impact on the demand for transportation and storage services. Therefore, China has prioritized enhancing transportation and logistics to maintain business operations and economic stability, with the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China's Shandong branch disbursing over USD 1.19 billion in loans to support the logistics sector in 2022.
Crude oil demand in China was expected to decline slightly owing to strong demand for EVs in 2023
- China's retail diesel and gasoline prices are set to soar to historically high levels following a surge in global crude oil benchmarks amid the Russia-Ukraine War. Under China's pricing system, retail fuel prices are assessed every ten working days to reflect global crude oil benchmarks if the benchmark prices move between USD 40 and USD 130. Outside that band, retail prices do not change or only move marginally. Chinese oil refiners, both state-backed and independent, are lowering operational rates to cope with high oil prices and ebbing fuel demand in the country due to the mobility restrictions during the COVID-19 pandemic.
- Unlike Japan and South Korea, both looking for ways to battle runaway oil prices via subsidies and tax cuts, China raised its ceiling prices for gasoil and gasoline in keeping with its domestic oil pricing mechanism. It has no plans to lower consumption tax as consumers shrug off higher transportation fuel costs. The National Development and Reform Commission raised the country's ceiling retail price for gasoline and gasoil by USD 31.3 per ton and USD 29.84 per ton, respectively, in 2022. China's 2023 crude oil demand is expected to grow less than expected, as strong demand for electric vehicles weighs on gasoline demand.
- China is unlikely to reduce the consumption tax on gasoline and gasoil during its net-zero journey. Operational rates in Shandong province, China's oil refining hub, fell to a two-year low of 57.09%. China's daily oil throughput in the first two months of 2022 fell to its lowest since December 2020. Oil prices rose in the first half of 2022 due to a fear caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and concerns that sanctions against Russia would lead to shortages.
OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT
- China's population declined due to the birthrate drop and is projected to fall below 1 billion by 2080
- The oil and gas industry, along with manufacturing, registered the highest GDP growth rate from 2017 to 2022
- Chinese e-commerce is set to retain its dominant position and is expected to register a CAGR of 12.17% during 2023-27
- China reigned as the leading automobile exporter in the world in the first half of 2023, led by a robust domestic car production market
- China climbs to the 19th rank in 2023 LPI, boosted by major investments and a thriving e-commerce sector
- China strives toward smart manufacturing under the Made in China 2025 Strategy
- Marginal PPI rise due to price controls and significant CPI rise witnessed due to increase in food prices
- New energy vehicles (NEVs) are expected to account for about 35% of the Chinese domestic market by 2025
- China remained highly reliant on agri-food imports in 2022, with Brazil and the United States as top suppliers
- China's GDP growth increased to 5.2% in 2023, fueled by private consumption and strong infrastructure investment
China Same Day Delivery Industry Overview
The China Same Day Delivery Market is fragmented, with the top five companies occupying 34.69%. The major players in this market are China Post, SF Express (KEX-SF), YTO Express, Yunda Express and ZTO Express (sorted alphabetically).
China Same Day Delivery Market Leaders
China Post
SF Express (KEX-SF)
YTO Express
Yunda Express
ZTO Express
Other important companies include Best Inc., DHL Group, FedEx, STO Express (Shentong Express), United Parcel Service of America, Inc. (UPS).
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in alphabetical order.
China Same Day Delivery Market News
- June 2023: China Post launched its first integrated indoor and outdoor “Robot Plus” AI delivery solution in China. The intelligent delivery solution relies on a combination of unmanned vehicles outdoors and robots indoors, constructing an integrated indoor and outdoor unmanned distribution mode and developing a last-mile logistics network with AI transport capacity sharing.
- April 2023: China Post and the Automobile Consumption Financial Center of Ping An Bank Co. Ltd launched an intelligent archives service center in Guangdong to promote the service integration of auto finance and express and logistics businesses.
- March 2023: BEST Express increased its Hub’s efficiency with technological innovation in both software and hardware developed by BEST Inc. in China. It helps the company support high-volume parcel sorting for many e-commerce platforms in Thailand.
Free with this Report
We provide a complimentary and exhaustive set of data points on global and regional metrics that present the fundamental structure of the industry. Presented in the form of 60+ free charts, the section covers difficult to find data on various regions pertaining to e-commerce industry trends, economic contribution of the transportation & storage sector, export-import trends, logistics performance among other key indicators.
China Same Day Delivery Market Report - Table of Contents
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY & KEY FINDINGS
2. REPORT OFFERS
3. INTRODUCTION
- 3.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
- 3.2 Scope of the Study
- 3.3 Research Methodology
4. KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS
- 4.1 Demographics
- 4.2 GDP Distribution By Economic Activity
- 4.3 GDP Growth By Economic Activity
- 4.4 Inflation
-
4.5 Economic Performance And Profile
- 4.5.1 Trends in E-Commerce Industry
- 4.5.2 Trends in Manufacturing Industry
- 4.6 Transport And Storage Sector GDP
- 4.7 Export Trends
- 4.8 Import Trends
- 4.9 Fuel Price
- 4.10 Logistics Performance
- 4.11 Infrastructure
-
4.12 Regulatory Framework
- 4.12.1 China
- 4.13 Value Chain & Distribution Channel Analysis
5. MARKET SEGMENTATION (includes Market Value in USD, Forecasts up to 2030 and analysis of growth prospects)
-
5.1 Mode Of Transport
- 5.1.1 Air
- 5.1.2 Road
- 5.1.3 Others
-
5.2 Shipment Weight
- 5.2.1 Heavy Weight Shipments
- 5.2.2 Light Weight Shipments
- 5.2.3 Medium Weight Shipments
-
5.3 Destination
- 5.3.1 Domestic
- 5.3.2 International
-
5.4 End User Industry
- 5.4.1 E-Commerce
- 5.4.2 Financial Services (BFSI)
- 5.4.3 Healthcare
- 5.4.4 Manufacturing
- 5.4.5 Primary Industry
- 5.4.6 Wholesale and Retail Trade (Offline)
- 5.4.7 Others
6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
- 6.1 Key Strategic Moves
- 6.2 Market Share Analysis
- 6.3 Company Landscape
-
6.4 Company Profiles
- 6.4.1 Best Inc.
- 6.4.2 China Post
- 6.4.3 DHL Group
- 6.4.4 FedEx
- 6.4.5 SF Express (KEX-SF)
- 6.4.6 STO Express (Shentong Express)
- 6.4.7 United Parcel Service of America, Inc. (UPS)
- 6.4.8 YTO Express
- 6.4.9 Yunda Express
- 6.4.10 ZTO Express
- *List Not Exhaustive
7. KEY STRATEGIC QUESTIONS FOR CEP CEOS
8. APPENDIX
-
8.1 Global Overview
- 8.1.1 Overview
- 8.1.2 Porter’s Five Forces Framework
- 8.1.3 Global Value Chain Analysis
- 8.1.4 Market Dynamics (DROs)
- 8.1.5 Technological Advancements
- 8.2 Sources & References
- 8.3 List of Tables & Figures
- 8.4 Primary Insights
- 8.5 Data Pack
- 8.6 Glossary of Terms
List of Tables & Figures
- Figure 1:
- POPULATION DISTRIBUTION BY GENDER, COUNT, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 2:
- POPULATION DISTRIBUTION BY DEVELOPMENT AREA, COUNT, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 3:
- POPULATION DENSITY, POPULATION/SQ. KM, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 4:
- GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) SHARE OF FINAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE (IN CURRENT PRICES), SHARE % OF GDP, CHINA, 2017 - 2022
- Figure 5:
- FINAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE, ANNUAL GROWTH (%), CHINA, 2017 - 2022
- Figure 6:
- POPULATION DISTRIBUTION BY MAJOR CITY, COUNT, CHINA, 2022
- Figure 7:
- DISTRIBUTION OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) BY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, SHARE %, CHINA, 2022
- Figure 8:
- GROWTH OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) BY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, CAGR %, CHINA, 2017 – 2022
- Figure 9:
- WHOLESALE PRICE INFLATION RATE, %, CHINA, 2017 - 2022
- Figure 10:
- CONSUMER PRICE INFLATION RATE, %, CHINA, 2017 - 2022
- Figure 11:
- GROSS MERCHANDISE VALUE (GMV) OF E-COMMERCE INDUSTRY, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2027
- Figure 12:
- SECTORAL SHARE IN E-COMMERCE INDUSTRY GROSS MERCHANDISE VALUE (GMV), SHARE %, CHINA, 2022
- Figure 13:
- GROSS VALUE ADDED (GVA) OF MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY (IN CURRENT PRICES), USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2022
- Figure 14:
- SECTORAL SHARE IN GROSS VALUE ADDED (GVA) OF MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY, SHARE %, CHINA, 2022
- Figure 15:
- VALUE OF TRANSPORT AND STORAGE SECTOR GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP), USD, CHINA, 2017 – 2022
- Figure 16:
- TRANSPORT AND STORAGE SECTOR GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP), SHARE % OF GDP, CHINA, 2022
- Figure 17:
- VALUE OF EXPORTS, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2022
- Figure 18:
- VALUE OF IMPORTS, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2022
- Figure 19:
- FUEL PRICE BY TYPE OF FUEL, USD/LITER, CHINA, 2017 - 2022
- Figure 20:
- RANK OF LOGISTICS PERFORMANCE, RANK, CHINA, 2010 - 2023
- Figure 21:
- LENGTH OF ROADS, KM, CHINA, 2017 - 2022
- Figure 22:
- SHARE OF ROAD LENGTH BY SURFACE CATEGORY, %, CHINA, 2022
- Figure 23:
- SHARE OF ROAD LENGTH BY ROAD CLASSIFICATION, %, CHINA, 2022
- Figure 24:
- RAIL LENGTH, KM, CHINA, 2017 - 2022
- Figure 25:
- CONTAINERS HANDLED AT MAJOR PORTS, TWENTY-FOOT EQUIVALENT UNITS (TEUS), CHINA, 2022
- Figure 26:
- CARGO WEIGHT HANDLED AT MAJOR AIRPORTS, TONS, CHINA, 2022
- Figure 27:
- VALUE OF SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 28:
- VALUE OF SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET BY MODE OF TRANSPORT, USD, CHINA 2017 - 2030
- Figure 29:
- VALUE SHARE OF SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET BY MODE OF TRANSPORT, %, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 30:
- VALUE OF AIR SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 31:
- VALUE OF ROAD SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 32:
- VALUE OF OTHERS SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 33:
- VALUE OF SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET BY SHIPMENT WEIGHT, USD, CHINA 2017 - 2030
- Figure 34:
- VALUE SHARE OF SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET BY SHIPMENT WEIGHT, %, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 35:
- VALUE OF HEAVY WEIGHT SHIPMENTS SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 36:
- VALUE OF LIGHT WEIGHT SHIPMENTS SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 37:
- VALUE OF MEDIUM WEIGHT SHIPMENTS SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 38:
- VALUE OF SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET BY DESTINATION, USD, CHINA 2017 - 2030
- Figure 39:
- VALUE SHARE OF SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET BY DESTINATION, %, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 40:
- VALUE OF DOMESTIC SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 41:
- VALUE OF INTERNATIONAL SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 42:
- VALUE OF SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET BY END USER INDUSTRY, USD, CHINA 2017 - 2030
- Figure 43:
- VALUE SHARE OF SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET BY END USER INDUSTRY, %, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 44:
- VALUE OF E-COMMERCE SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 45:
- VALUE OF FINANCIAL SERVICES (BFSI) SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 46:
- VALUE OF HEALTHCARE SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 47:
- VALUE OF MANUFACTURING SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 48:
- VALUE OF PRIMARY INDUSTRY SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 49:
- VALUE OF WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE (OFFLINE) SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 50:
- VALUE OF OTHERS SAME DAY DELIVERY MARKET, USD, CHINA, 2017 - 2030
- Figure 51:
- MOST ACTIVE COMPANIES BY NUMBER OF STRATEGIC MOVES, COUNT, CHINA, 2022
- Figure 52:
- MOST ADOPTED STRATEGIES, COUNT, CHINA, 2022
- Figure 53:
- VALUE SHARE OF MAJOR PLAYERS, %, CHINA 2022
China Same Day Delivery Industry Segmentation
Air, Road, Others are covered as segments by Mode Of Transport. Heavy Weight Shipments, Light Weight Shipments, Medium Weight Shipments are covered as segments by Shipment Weight. Domestic, International are covered as segments by Destination. E-Commerce, Financial Services (BFSI), Healthcare, Manufacturing, Primary Industry, Wholesale and Retail Trade (Offline), Others are covered as segments by End User Industry.
- In 2022, the total volume of express deliveries, which also majorly include same day deliveries, accounted for about 80% of the total volume of the postal industry's delivery business, with the majority being same day deliveries. The cumulative revenue from express deliveries also increased by 2.3% YoY in 2022 due to recurring lockdowns, which increased demand for quick and same day deliveries, specifically for essential goods. Also, in 2022, the eastern, central, and western areas accounted for 76.8%, 15.7%, and 7.5% of the total volume of express delivery business, respectively. In alignment with this increasing demand, Cainiao Network, the logistics network of China's Alibaba Group Holding Ltd launched half-day express delivery service in Beijing in 2023.
- Major cross-border e-commerce platforms in China are TMall Global & Kaola, JD Worldwide (Jd.com's cross-border e-commerce platform), and Vipshop, accounting for 80% of the cross-border e-commerce traffic. Of this, Alibaba-owned overseas shopping e-commerce platforms like TMall Global & Kaola provide same day deliveries, and they captured 60% of China's cross-border import online retail market as of 2021. JD.com delivers approximately 90% of orders on the same or next day via a network of its 1,500 warehouses that include small to medium-sized and cross-border warehouses.
- The government aims to establish a more pragmatic logistics network by 2035, specifically for domestic and international same day and express deliveries. Deliveries of packages via this network aim to take one day in China, two days to customers in adjacent nations, and three days to major cities worldwide. For this, 80 logistical hubs are expected to be operational to manage local and international express mail deliveries by 2035.
Mode Of Transport | Air |
Road | |
Others | |
Shipment Weight | Heavy Weight Shipments |
Light Weight Shipments | |
Medium Weight Shipments | |
Destination | Domestic |
International | |
End User Industry | E-Commerce |
Financial Services (BFSI) | |
Healthcare | |
Manufacturing | |
Primary Industry | |
Wholesale and Retail Trade (Offline) | |
Others |
Market Definition
- Courier, Express, and Parcel - The Courier, Express, and Parcel services, often called as CEP Market, refers to the logistics and postal service providers which specialize in moving small goods (parcels/packages). It captures the overall market size (USD) and market volume (number of parcels) of (1) the shipments/parcels/packages which are under 70kgs/ 154lbs weight, (2) Business Customer packages viz. Business-to-Business (B2B) & Business-to-Consumer (B2C) as well as private customer packages (C2C), (3) non-express parcel delivery services (Standard and Deferred) as well as express parcel delivery services (Day-Definite-Express and Time-Definite-Express), (4) domestic as well as international shipments.
- Demographics - To analyse total addressable market demand, population growth & forecasts have been studied and presented in this industry trend. It represents population distribution across categories like gender (male/female), development area (urban/rural), major cities among other key parameters like population density and final consumption expenditure (growth and share % of GDP). This data has been used for assessing the fluctations in demand & consumption expenditure, and the major hotspots (cities) of potential demand.
- Domestic Courier Market - Domestic Courier Market refers to the CEP shipments wherein the origin and destination is within the boundary of the geography studied (country or region as per the scope of report). It captures the market size (USD) and market volume (number of parcels) of (1) the shipments/parcels/packages which are under 70kgs/ 154lbs weight, including light weight shipments, medium weight shipments and heavy weight shipments (2) Business Customer packages viz. Business-to-Business (B2B) & Business-to-Consumer (B2C) as well as private customer packages (C2C), (3) non-express parcel delivery services (Standard and Deferred) as well as express parcel delivery services (Day-Definite-Express and Time-Definite-Express).
- E-Commerce - This end user industry segment captures the external (outsourced) logistics expenditure incurred by the e-tailers, through online sales channel, on Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) services. The scope includes (i) the supply chain of a company's online customer orders being fulfilled, (ii) the process of getting a product from the point of manufacturing to the point at which it is delivered to consumers. It involves managing inventory (deferred as well as time critical), shipping, and distribution.
- Export Trends and Import Trends - Overall logistics performance of an economy is positively and significantly (statistically) correlated to its trade performance (exports and imports). Hence, in this industry trend, total value of trade, major commodities/ commodity groups and the major trade partners, for the studied geography (country or region as per the scope of report) have been analysed alongside the impact of major trade/logistics infrastructure investments & regulatory environment.
- Financial Services (BFSI) - This end user industry segment captures the external (outsourced) logistics expenditure incurred by the BFSI players, on Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) services. CEP is important to the financial services industry in shipping of confidential documents and files. The establishments in this sector are engaged in (i) financial transactions (that is, transactions involving the creation, liquidation, or change in ownership of financial assets) or in facilitating financial transactions, (ii) financial intermediation, (iii) the pooling of risk by underwriting annuities and insurance, (iv) providing specialized services that facilitate or support financial intermediation, insurance and employee benefit programs, and (v) monetary control - the monetary authorities.
- Fuel Price - Fuel price spikes can cause delays and diruption for logistics service providers (LSPs), while drops in the same can result in higher short-term profitability and increased market rivalry to offer consumers with the best deals. Hence, the fuel price variations have been studied over the review period and presented along with the causes as well as market impacts.
- GDP Distribution by Economic Activity - Nominal Gross Domestic Product and distribution of the same, across major economic sectors in the geography studied (country or region as per scope of the report) have been studied and presented in this industry trend. As GDP is positively related to the profitability and growth of logistics industry, this data has been used in adjunction to the input-output tables/ supply-use tables for analyzing the potential major contributing sectors towards the logistics demand.
- GDP Growth by Economic Activity - Growth of Nominal Gross Domestic Product across major economic sectors, for the geography studied (country or region as per scope of the report) have been presented in this industry trend. This data has been utilized for assessing the growth of logistics demand from all the market end users (economic sectors considered here).
- Healthcare - This end user industry segment captures the external (outsourced) logistics expenditure incurred by the Healthcare players (Hospitals, clinics, mrdical centres) , on Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) services. The scope includes CEP services involved in the defrerred as well time critical movement of medical goods & supplies (surgical supplies and instruments, including gloves, masks, syringes, equipment). The establishments in this sector (i) include the ones providing medical care exclusively (ii) deliver services by trained professionals (iii) involve processes, including labor inputs of health practitioners with the requisite expertise (iv) are defined based on the educational degree held by the practitioners included in the industry.
- Inflation - Variations in both Wholesale Price Inflation (YoY change in producer price index) and Consumer Price Inflation have been presented in this industry trend. This data has been used to assess the inflationary environment as it plays a vital role in smooth functioning of the supply chain, directly impacting the logistics operational cost components e.g., pricing of tyres, driver wages & benefits, energy/fuel prices, maintenace costs, toll charges, warehousing rents, custom brokerage, forwarding rates, courier rates etc. hence impacting the overall freight and logistics market.
- Infrastructure - As infrastructure plays a vital role in an economy's logistics performance, variables like length of roads, distribution of road length by surface category (paved v/s unpaved), distribution of road length by road classification (expressways v/s highways v/s other roads), rail length, volume of containers handled by major ports and tonnage handled by major airports have been analysed and presented in this industry trend.
- International Express Service Market - International Express Service Market refers to the CEP shipments wherein the origin or destination is not within the boundary of the geography studied (country or region as per the scope of report). It captures the market size (USD) and market volume (number of parcels) of (1) the shipments/parcels/packages which are under 70kgs/ 154lbs weight, including light weight shipments, medium weight shipments and heavy weight shipments (ii) Inter-Region as well as Intra-Region Shipments
- Key Industry Trends - The report section named "Key Industry Trends" include all the key variables/parameters studied to better analyze the market size estimates and forecasts. All the trends have been presented in the form of data points (time series or latest available data points) along with analysis of the paramter in the form of concise market relevant commentary, for the geography studied (country or region as per the scope of report).
- Key Strategic Moves - The action taken by a company to differentiate from its competitor or used as a general strategy is referred to as a key strategic move (KSM). This includes (1) Agreements (2) Expansions (3) Financial Restructuring (4) Mergers and Acquisitions (5) Partnerships, and (6) Product Innovations. Key players (Logistics Service Providers, LSPs) in the market have been shortlisted, their KSM have been studied and presented in this section.
- Logistics Performance - Logistics Performance and Logistics Costs are the backbone of trade, and influences trade costs, making countries compete globally. Logistics performance is influenced by market wide adopted supply chain management strategies, government services, investments & policies, fuel/ energy costs, inflationary environment etc. Hence, in this industry trend, the logistics performance of the geography studied (country/ region as per the scope of report) has been analysed and presented over the review period.
- Manufacturing - This end user industry segment captures the external (outsourced) logistics expenditure incurred by the Manufacturing industry (including Hi-Tech/Technology) players, on Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) services. The end user players considered are the establishments primarily engaged in the chemical, mechanical or physical transformation of materials or substances into new products. Logistics Service Providers (LSPs) play a crucial role in maintaining a smooth flow of raw materials across the supply chain, enabling timely delivery of finished goods to distributors or end customers and storing & supplying the raw materials to clients for just-in-time manufacturing.
- Other End Users - Other end user segment captures the external (outsourced) logistics expenditure incurred by the construction, real estate, educational services, and professional services (administrative, waste management, legal, architectural, engineering, design, consulting, scientific R&D), on Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) services. Logistics Service Providers (LSPs) plays a crucial role in the reliable movement of time critical supplies and documents to/from these industries such as transporting any equipment or resources required, shipping confidential documents and files.
- Primary Industry - This end user industry segment captures the external (outsourced) logistics expenditure incurred by the AFF (Agriculture, Fishing, and Forestry) and Extraction indsutry (Oil &Gas, Quarrying and Mining) players, on Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) services. The end user players considered are the establishments (i) primarily engaged in growing crops, raising animals, harvesting timber, harvesting fish & other animals from their natural habitats and providing related support activities; (ii) that extract naturally occurring mineral solids, such as coal and ores; liquid minerals, such as crude petroleum; and gases, such as natural gas. Herein, Logistics Service Providers (LSPs) (i) play a crucial role in acquisition, storage, handling, transportation, and distribution activities for the optimal & continuous flow of inputs (seeds, pesticides, fertilizers, equipment, and water) from manufacturers or suppliers to the producers and smooth flow of output (produce, agro-goods) to distributors/ consumers; (ii) cover entire phases from upstream to downstream and play a crucial role in the transportation of machinery, drilling equipments, extracted minerals, crude oil & natural gas and refined/ processed products from one place to another. This includes both termperature controlled and non-temperature controlled logistics, as and when required according to the shelf life of goods being transported or stored.
- Producer Price Inflation - It indicates inflation from viewpoint of the producers viz. the average selling price received for their output over a period of time. Annual change (YoY) of producer price index is reported as wholesale price inflation in the "Inflation" industry trend. As WPI captures dynamic price movements in most comprehensive way, it is widely used by governments, banks, industry, business circles and is deemed important in formulation of trade, fiscal and other economic policies. The data has been used in adjunction to consumer price inflation for better understanding the inflationary environment.
- Segmental Revenue - Segmental Revenue has been triangulated or computed and presented for all the major players in the market. It refers to the courier, express, and parcel (CEP) market specific revenue earned by the company, over the base year of study, in the geography studied (country or region as per the scope of report). It is computed through the study and analysis of major parameters like financials, service portfolio, employee strength, fleet size, investments, number of countries present in, major economies of concern, etc. that have been reported by the company in its annual reports, webpage. For companies having scarce financial disclosures, paid databases like D&B Hoovers, Dow Jones Factiva have been resorted to and verified through industry/expert interactions.
- Transport and Storage Sector GDP - Value and growth of Transport and Storage Sector GDP has a direct relation to the freight and logistics market size. Hence, this variable has been studied and presented over the review period, in value terms (USD) and as share % of total GDP, in this industry trend. The data has been supported by concise and relevant commentary around the investments, developments, and current market scenario.
- Trends in E-Commerce Industry - Enhanced internet connectivity and boom in smartphone penetration, coupled with increasing disposable incomes, has led to a phenomenal growth in the e-commerce market globally. Online shoppers require fast and efficient delivery of their orders leading to an increase in the demand for logistics services especially e-commerce fulfilment services. Hence, the Gross Merchandise Value (GMV), historial and projected growth, breakup of major commodity groups in e-commerce industry for the studied geography (country or region as per scope of the report) have been analysed and presented in this industry trend.
- Trends in Manufacturing Industry - Manufacturing industry involves the transformation of raw materials into finished products, while logistics industry ensures the efficient flow of raw materials to the factory, and the transport of manufactured products to the distributors & consumers. Demand-Supply of both industries are highly cross-linked and critical for a seamless supply chain. Hence, the Gross Value Added (GVA), breakup of GVA into major manufacturing sectors, and growth of manufacturing industry over the review period have been analysed and presented, in this industry trend.
- Wholesale and Retail Trade (Offline) - This end user industry segment captures the external (outsourced) logistics expenditure incurred by the wholesalers and retailers, through offline sales channel, on Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) services. The end user players considered are the establishments primarily engaged in wholesaling or retailing merchandise, generally without transformation, and rendering services incidental to the sale of merchandise. Logistics Service Providers (LSPs) plays a crucial role in the reliable movement of supplies to and finished products from production houses to the distributors and finally to the end customer covering activites like material sourcing, transportation, order fulfillment, warehousing & storage, demand forecasting, inventory management etc.
Keyword | Definition |
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Axle Load | The axle load refers to the total load (weight) bearing on the roadway through wheels connected to a given axle. Across the globe, there are systems in place to ensure axle load monitoring, wherein surpassing the defined limits set by the concerned regulatory authority can lead to penalty/fine. For transportation of goods via road this can be an important determinant of costs as knowledge about the axle load limits can be used to (i) load the vehicle optimally for maximizing profits (ii) avoid exceeding the same and hence the probable fines associated (iii) avoid wear and tear of the vehicle (iv) avoid damage to pavement resulting in noticeable public maintenance and repair costs (v) achieve better turnaround time. |
Back Haul | Backhaul is the return movement of a transport vehicle from its original destination to its original point of departure, and can include full, partial, or empty truck loads (all or part of the way) depending on the visibility of the local freight ecosystem. In this regard, transportation of empty containers to the point of origin, known as deadheading is also a significant factor, considering the supply/container shortages across the geographies, resulting in cost escalation and under optimized profit potential attainment. Generally, the carriers offer discounts on the backhaul, to secure freight for the trip. |
Bill of Lading (BOL) | A bill of lading is a legal contract document issued by a carrier to a shipper to acknowledge reception of their cargo, and is evidence for the contract of carriage between the two parties. Broadly it details the (i) type, quantity, and other specifications of the goods being carried (ii) destination, and terms & conditions of the shipment (iii) carrier and drivers with all the necessary information to process the shipment, which can be used for insurance and customs clearance purposes (iv) assurance that the consignment is damage-free and ready to be shipped to the consignee. In this regard, a house bill of lading (HBL) is a document issued by a freight forwarder or a non-vessel operating common carrier (NVOCC) to acknowledge receipt of items for shipment (to a shipper). If shipments from several shippers are involved a master bill of lading (MBL) might be involved which is a consolidated version of the same for all the shipments being taken care of by the carrier (to a common destination) and might be issued by the carrier to the freight forwarder or the shipper (depending on who books the transport). |
Bunkering | Bunkering is the process of supplying fuel to power the propulsion system of a ship. It includes the logistics of loading and distributing the fuel among available shipboard tanks. In this regard, (i) Bunker fuel is technically any type of fuel oil used aboard ships. It gets its name from the containers on ships and in ports that it is stored in; in the days of steam they were coal bunkers but now they are bunker-fuel tanks, (ii) Bunker refers to the spaces (Tank) on board a vessel to store fuel, (iii) Bunker trader refers to a person dealing in trade of bunker (fuel), (iv) Bunker call is made when a cargo ship anchors or berths in a port to take on bunker oil or supplies, (v) Bunkering service is the supply of a requested quality and quantity of bunkers to a ship. Bunkering is signficant from point of view of freight rates applicable to the shipper as Bunker Contribution (BUC)/ Fuel Adjustment Factor (FAF)/ Bunker Adjustment Factor (BAF) are applied by shipping lines to offset the effect of fluctuations in the cost of bunkers. |
Cabotage | Transport by a vehicle registered in a country, performed on the national territory of another country. Cabotage law may restrict domestic cargo traffic to be carried in its own nationally registered, and sometimes built and crewed vehicles, though regulations vary across industries/commodity groups/countries and sometimes specify maximum allowable percentage of cabotage that can be serviced by foreign registered fleet. |
C-commerce | Collaborative commerce (also known as C-commerce), (i) describes electronically enabled business interactions among an enterprise’s internal personnel, business partners and customers throughout a trading community (industry, industry segment, supply chain or supply chain segment); (ii) is the optimization of supply and distribution channels to capitalize on the global economy by using new technology efficiently. Advantages of C-commerce, to detail few include (i) maximization of organization's efficiency and profitability (ii) technology integration with physical channels to allow companies to work together (iii) increased information exchange such as inventory and product specifications, using the web as an intermediary (iv) increased competitiveness by reaching a broader audience. Examples of C-commerce, also known as peer-to-peer commerce, include (i) companies that allow consumers to rent things from each other, or marketplaces, such as Meta (formerly Facebook) Marketplace, that allow the sale of used goods; (ii) DoorDash teamed up with many national brands, such as McDonald’s and Chipotle, to offer fast food delivery, building their business model on c-commerce. They have since expanded their delivery service from restaurants to retailers and even offer 'fleets' of drivers to businesses. |
Courier | A business/company that delivers packages/parcels/shipments (upto 70 kgs) including quick door to door pickup and delivery service for goods or documents, domestically or internationally, on a commercial contract basis. Example, DHL Group, FedEx, United Parcel Service of America, Inc., USPS, International Distributions Services, J&T Express, SF Express among several others |
Cross docking | Cross docking is a practice in logistics management that includes unloading incoming delivery vehicles and loading the materials directly into outbound delivery vehicles, omitting traditional warehouse logistical practices and saving time and money. It requires close synchronization of both inbound and outbound movements. It is highly significant in reduction of costs pertaining to warehousing & storage (and the associated Value Added Services). |
Cross Trade | International transport between two different countries performed by a vehicle registered in a third country. A third country is a country other than the country of loading/embarkation and the country of unloading/disembarkation. Cross Trade law may restrict international cargo traffic to be carried by respective country's registered vehicles, and sometimes built and crewed vehicles, though regulations vary across industries/commodity groups/countries and sometimes specify maximum allowable percentage of cross trade that can be serviced by foreign registered fleet. |
Customs Clearance | The process of declaring and clearing cargoes through customs. It includes the procedures involved in getting cargo released by Customs through designated formalities such as presenting import license/permit, payment of import duties and other required documentations by the nature of the cargo. In this regard, a customs broker is a person or company licensed by the respective department of the country to act on behalf of freight importers and exporters. |
Dangerous Goods | Dangerous goods (or hazardous materials or HAZMAT) include flammable liquids/solids, gases (compressed, liquified, dissolved under pressure), corrosives, oxidising substances, explosive substances and articles, substances which on contact with water emit flammable gasses, organic peroxides, toxic substances, infectious substances, radioactive materials, miscellaneous dangerous goods and articles. |
First mile Delivery | First mile delivery refers to the (i) first stage of the freight/shipment/cargo/courier transportation (ii) the transportation of goods from a merchant’s premises or warehouse to the next fulfillment centre/warehouse/hub from where the goods are forwarded (iii) shipping goods from local distribution centers to stores (For retailers) (iv) transportation of finished goods from a plant or a factory to a distribution center (For manufacturers), (v) pick up of goods from the end-customer’s home or store followed by movement to a warehouse or storage location (movers and packers), (vi) process where goods are picked up from a retailer and then transferred to third-party logistics providers or courier service providers to be delivered to the end-consumer (e-commerce). Once the package reaches the next warehouse or the courier’s hub, it is then sorted and transported further until it reaches the customer’s doorstep. Example, if one chooses UPS as a courier, first-mile delivery will be the product being delivered from manufacturer's/retailer's warehouse to the UPS’s warehouse/ fulfilment centre. |
Last Mile Delivery | Last mile delivery refers to the very last step of the delivery process when a parcel is moved from a transportation hub (warehouse or a distribution center or fulfillment centre) to its final destination, which usually is a personal residence/retail store/ business, or parcel locker. It accounts for around half of the total cost involved in entire process of first mile, middle mile, and last mile delivery, though it can vary shipment to shipment, based on commodity, business model and similar factors. |
Milkrun | A Milk Run is a delivery method used to transport mixed loads from various suppliers to one customer, using lean management principles applied to logistics. Instead of each supplier sending a truck every week to meet the needs of one customer, one truck (or vehicle) visits the suppliers to pick up the loads for that customer. This method of transport got its name from the dairy industry practice, where one tanker used to collect milk from several dairy farms for delivery to a milk processing company. A milk run can be a more efficient way to handle logistics but require proper planning. If the route involves products from different companies, there is need for an agreement about cost-sharing and other aspects of the cooperative delivery arrangement. Once the group settles these issues, this delivery method can save time and money for everyone by pooling operation costs and resources. |
Multi country consolidation | Multi-Country Consolidation (MCC) is a cost-effective solution that consolidates one's cargo from different countries of origin to build Full Container Loads (FCL). MCC is most suitable for companies that import light volumes of goods from multiple countries but want to take advantage of the more economic FCL freight rates. Apart from costing some of the other advantages include (i) flexibility to choose suppliers from a wider range of origin countries without worrying about the logistics to final destination from each origin, (ii) ability to pick the most suitable suppliers from many different countries for one's business operations. The increase in one's sourcing options by MCC provides the kind of flexibility needed in competitive global markets. |
Q-commerce | Q-commerce, also referred to as quick commerce, is a type of e-commerce where emphasis is on quick deliveries, typically in less than an hour. The companies providing Q-Commerce services might have vertically intergrated model or might be using third party delivery platforms (outsourced logistics). It has advantages like (i) competitve USP, (ii) potential to earn greater profit margins, (iii) better customer experience, (iv) guaranteed availability of products, (v) traceability, and (vi) scaleability. |
ReverseLogistics | Reverse logistics is a type of supply chain management that moves goods from customers back to the sellers or manufacturers and may involve ciruclar economy principles (3Rs) viz. recycling, reuse (repurposing, reselling), reducing or repairing. In this regard, reverse commerce (or Recommerce) is the selling of previously owned items through physical or online marketplaces/distribution channels to buyers who reuse, recycle or resell them. |
Research Methodology
Mordor Intelligence follows a four-step methodology in all our reports.
- Step-1: Identify Key Variables: In order to build a robust forecasting methodology, the variables and factors identified in Step-1 are tested against available historical market numbers. Through an iterative process, the variables required for market forecast are set and the model is built on the basis of these variables.
- Step-2: Build a Market Model: Market-size estimations for the forecast years are in nominal terms. Inflation is considered to be a part of the pricing, and the average selling price (ASP) is varying throughout the forecast period for each country
- Step-3: Validate and Finalize: In this important step, all market numbers, variables and analyst calls are validated through an extensive network of primary research experts from the market studied. The respondents are selected across levels and functions to generate a holistic picture of the market studied.
- Step-4: Research Outputs: Syndicated Reports, Custom Consulting Assignments, Databases & Subscription Platforms