North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market Size
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Study Period | 2017 - 2029 |
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Market Size (2024) | USD 0.78 Billion |
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Market Size (2029) | USD 1.13 Billion |
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Largest Share by Distribution Channel | Off-Trade |
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CAGR (2024 - 2029) | 7.67 % |
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Largest Share by Country | United States |
Major Players |
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*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order |
North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market Analysis
The North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market size is estimated at 0.78 billion USD in 2024, and is expected to reach 1.13 billion USD by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 7.67% during the forecast period (2024-2029).
0.78 Billion
Market Size in 2024 (USD)
1.13 Billion
Market Size in 2029 (USD)
13.54 %
CAGR (2017-2023)
7.67 %
CAGR (2024-2029)
Largest Market by Distribution Channel
100 %
value share, Off-Trade, 2023
The wider availability of various brands, ease of reading product labels and convenience in comparing different products make it the preffered type among the dairy consumers.
Largest Market by Country
94.46 %
value share, United States, 2023
Higher purchasing power, the inclusion of dairy products in most of their consumption patterns, and high productivity are some of the major factors driving the US market.
Fastest-growing Market by Distribution Channel
7.67 %
Projected CAGR, Off-Trade, 2024-2029
The onset of the experimential economy and the rising social media platforms with increasing consumer reach in the market is driving the off trade channels through online channels
Fastest-growing Market by Country
13.78 %
Projected CAGR, Mexico, 2024-2029
Growing concern about the climate impacts, food innovations from start-ups, and their initiative to promote the vegan diet is contributing to the growth of market in Mexico.
Leading Market Player
44.84 %
market share, Danone SA, 2022
Selective expansion of Danone's presence in the market along with wider brand presence and products offered with active portfolio rotation are making it market leader
The steady increase in sales of non-dairy ice cream through food service and retail sector is fueling the growth
- In 2020, consumers purchased more plant-based ice creams through retail groceries (off-trade), with an increase of 17%. The non-dairy ice cream market has been showing steady growth since 2020. This illustrates a sustained increase over recent years and demonstrates the incredible opportunities available for brands in stores and online platforms.
- However, the region does not have a considerable market for the on-trade channel, which is underdeveloped. Consumers eat plant-based dairy at home and are less likely to eat from a restaurant or foodservice outlet. Around 93% of meals or snacks that include milk alternatives are consumed at home, and 7% are consumed at a restaurant or foodservice outlet. Plant-based foods represent less than 1% of all foods shipped by broad-line distributors to commercial and non-commercial foodservice outlets.
- The online channel is expected to be the fastest-growing distribution channel in the off-trade segment. It is projected to register a Y-o-Y growth of 28%, by value, during 2023-2025. Convenience is the primary motivation for 61.1% of shoppers who have transitioned to shopping for more groceries online. This growth is due to the increasing number of smartphone users, which increased by 11 million between 2020 and 2021. Around 45% of the population browses online websites through mobile devices.
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Inclination towards low fat products among the North America population
- In 2022, the North American non-dairy ice cream market witnessed a growth of 6.46%. The growth was attributed to the rising health consciousness among the North American population. Consumers prefer non-dairy ice creams since their fat percentage is comparatively lower than that of animal-milk-based ice creams. The fat percentage in coconut milk is significantly lesser than in animal-based milk. Animal milk provides 60 calories, whereas unsweetened coconut milk provides about 39 calories in a one-cup serving. Since coconut milk has less fat content, it helps mitigate the risk of obesity rate. The consumption volume of non-dairy ice creams in North America is estimated to grow by 17.43% in 2025.
- Out of the top 19 vegan product producers, the top six manufacturers are established in the United States. As a result, the United States dominates the North American non-dairy ice cream market, and it held a share of 94.4% in 2022, followed by Canada, which held a share of 4.77%.
- In 2022, supermarkets and hypermarkets dominated the retailing landscape in the region, as these retailers held a volume of 82.2%. Convenience stores came in second with 10.6% of the market share the same year. Some of these retailers are Walmart, Target, Kroger, Amazon, Costco Wholesale Corporation, Albertsons Companies Inc., Ahold Delhaize USA, and Publix Super Markets Inc.
- The retailing segment offers plant-milk-based ice creams at varied price ranges (low, medium, and high) to captivate consumers' attention. The base selling price of non-dairy ice cream is USD 4.84 to as high as USD 100. The availability of non-dairy ice creams at various prices also accelerates the buying power of consumers.
North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market Trends
The rising awareness regarding the consequences of obesity is largely driving the North American non-dairy ice cream market.
- Non-dairy ice creams are gaining popularity among consumers because of the rise in the flexitarian, lactose intolerant, or strict vegan populations. In 2022, the US non-dairy ice cream market witnessed a growth of 14.2% compared to 2021. The growth was attributed to the rising awareness about the consequences of obesity. Hence, their preference and consumption of non-fat or less-fat food products significantly increased. The region also observed a growth in its obesity percentage in 2020. In Canada, obesity rates in Canadian adults were higher in men than women (28.0% versus 24.7%, respectively) in 2020.
- The fat percentage in plant-based milk is comparatively lower than in animal-based milk. One plant-based milk, coconut milk, has fat content significantly lesser than animal-based milk, as one cup (8 oz or 240 mL) of unsweetened coconut milk provides 39 calories. Unsweetened hemp milk (made from water and hulled hemp seed) provides about 60 calories in a one-cup serving.
- The region has also witnessed a growth in the volume of lactose-intolerant population. In 2022, in the United States, 15% of adult Caucasians and 85% of African Americans were lactose intolerant. Consumers are even changing to a vegetarian diet to avoid the consequences of the corresponding disease. In January 2022, 10% of Americans over the age of 18 considered themselves to be lactose intolerant.
- In the North American region, non-dairy ice creams are available at different prices, promoting the affordability factor for consumers. In the United States, plant-based ice creams are available from USD 2.14 to over USD 70.5. Non-dairy ice creams are also available in different flavors, including vanilla and chocolate.
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OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT
- The increasing demand for sustainable plant-based ingredients has a larger impact on the production of various plant-based raw materials.
North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Industry Overview
The North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market is fairly consolidated, with the top five companies occupying 86.87%. The major players in this market are Danone SA, Oatly Group AB, Oregon Ice Cream Company, Unilever Plc and Van Leeuwen Ice Cream (sorted alphabetically).
North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market Leaders
Danone SA
Oatly Group AB
Oregon Ice Cream Company
Unilever Plc
Van Leeuwen Ice Cream
Other important companies include Arctic Zero Cssc Inc., Bliss Unlimited LLC - Cosmic Bliss, NadaMoo, Noona's Ice Cream LLC, The Booja Booja Company Limited, Tofutti Brands Inc..
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in alphabetical order.
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North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market News
- November 2022: Together with Kraft, Van Leeuwen launched a new Pizza-flavored Ice Cream with Mozzarella & Tomato Jam, made available in Walmart.
- October 2022: Van Leeuwen launched Nostalgic Ice Cream across Sprouts retail stores.
- September 2022: Van Leeuwen opened a scoop shop on Greenwich Avenue to expand its Vegan Ice Cream business.
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North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market Report - Table of Contents
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY & KEY FINDINGS
2. REPORT OFFERS
3. INTRODUCTION
- 3.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
- 3.2 Scope of the Study
- 3.3 Research Methodology
4. KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS
- 4.1 Per Capita Consumption
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4.2 Raw Material/commodity Production
- 4.2.1 Dairy Alternative - Raw Material Production
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4.3 Regulatory Framework
- 4.3.1 Canada
- 4.3.2 Mexico
- 4.3.3 United States
- 4.4 Value Chain & Distribution Channel Analysis
5. MARKET SEGMENTATION (includes market size in Value in USD and Volume, Forecasts up to 2029 and analysis of growth prospects)
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5.1 Distribution Channel
- 5.1.1 Off-Trade
- 5.1.1.1 By Sub Distribution Channels
- 5.1.1.1.1 Convenience Stores
- 5.1.1.1.2 Online Retail
- 5.1.1.1.3 Specialist Retailers
- 5.1.1.1.4 Supermarkets and Hypermarkets
- 5.1.1.1.5 Others (Warehouse clubs, gas stations, etc.)
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5.2 Country
- 5.2.1 Canada
- 5.2.2 Mexico
- 5.2.3 United States
6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
- 6.1 Key Strategic Moves
- 6.2 Market Share Analysis
- 6.3 Company Landscape
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6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Business Segments, Financials, Headcount, Key Information, Market Rank, Market Share, Products and Services, and Analysis of Recent Developments).
- 6.4.1 Arctic Zero Cssc Inc.
- 6.4.2 Bliss Unlimited LLC - Cosmic Bliss
- 6.4.3 Danone SA
- 6.4.4 NadaMoo
- 6.4.5 Noona's Ice Cream LLC
- 6.4.6 Oatly Group AB
- 6.4.7 Oregon Ice Cream Company
- 6.4.8 The Booja Booja Company Limited
- 6.4.9 Tofutti Brands Inc.
- 6.4.10 Unilever Plc
- 6.4.11 Van Leeuwen Ice Cream
7. KEY STRATEGIC QUESTIONS FOR DAIRY AND DAIRY ALTERNATIVE CEOS
8. APPENDIX
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8.1 Global Overview
- 8.1.1 Overview
- 8.1.2 Porter’s Five Forces Framework
- 8.1.3 Global Value Chain Analysis
- 8.1.4 Market Dynamics (DROs)
- 8.2 Sources & References
- 8.3 List of Tables & Figures
- 8.4 Primary Insights
- 8.5 Data Pack
- 8.6 Glossary of Terms
List of Tables & Figures
- Figure 1:
- PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM, KG, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 2:
- PRODUCTION VOLUME OF NORTH AMERICA NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET - RAW MATERIAL, METRIC TONNES, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2021
- Figure 3:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM, METRIC TONNES, BY NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 4:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM, USD MN, BY NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 5:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL, METRIC TONNES, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 6:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL, USD MN, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 7:
- VOLUME SHARE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL , %, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 8:
- VALUE SHARE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL , %, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 9:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET BY SUB DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS, METRIC TONNES, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 10:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET BY SUB DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS, USD MN, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 11:
- VOLUME SHARE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, BY SUB DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS , %, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 12:
- VALUE SHARE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, BY SUB DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS , %, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 13:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET SOLD VIA CONVENIENCE STORES, METRIC TONNES, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 14:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET SOLD VIA CONVENIENCE STORES, USD MN, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 15:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET SOLD VIA ONLINE RETAIL, METRIC TONNES, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 16:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET SOLD VIA ONLINE RETAIL, USD MN, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 17:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET SOLD VIA SPECIALIST RETAILERS, METRIC TONNES, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 18:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET SOLD VIA SPECIALIST RETAILERS, USD MN, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 19:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET SOLD VIA SUPERMARKETS AND HYPERMARKETS, METRIC TONNES, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 20:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET SOLD VIA SUPERMARKETS AND HYPERMARKETS, USD MN, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 21:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET SOLD VIA OTHERS (WAREHOUSE CLUBS, GAS STATIONS, ETC.), METRIC TONNES, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 22:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET SOLD VIA OTHERS (WAREHOUSE CLUBS, GAS STATIONS, ETC.), USD MN, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 23:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET BY COUNTRY, METRIC TONNES, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 24:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET BY COUNTRY, USD MN, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 25:
- VOLUME SHARE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, BY COUNTRY , %, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 26:
- VALUE SHARE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, BY COUNTRY , %, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 VS 2023 VS 2029
- Figure 27:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, METRIC TONNES, CANADA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 28:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, USD MN, CANADA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 29:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, METRIC TONNES, MEXICO, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 30:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, USD MN, MEXICO, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 31:
- VOLUME OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, METRIC TONNES, UNITED STATES, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 32:
- VALUE OF NON-DAIRY ICE CREAM MARKET, USD MN, UNITED STATES, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 33:
- MOST ACTIVE COMPANIES BY NUMBER OF STRATEGIC MOVES, COUNT, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 34:
- MOST ADOPTED STRATEGIES, COUNT, NORTH AMERICA, 2017 - 2029
- Figure 35:
- VALUE SHARE OF MAJOR PLAYERS, %, NORTH AMERICA, 2022
North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Industry Segmentation
Off-Trade are covered as segments by Distribution Channel. Canada, Mexico, United States are covered as segments by Country.
- In 2020, consumers purchased more plant-based ice creams through retail groceries (off-trade), with an increase of 17%. The non-dairy ice cream market has been showing steady growth since 2020. This illustrates a sustained increase over recent years and demonstrates the incredible opportunities available for brands in stores and online platforms.
- However, the region does not have a considerable market for the on-trade channel, which is underdeveloped. Consumers eat plant-based dairy at home and are less likely to eat from a restaurant or foodservice outlet. Around 93% of meals or snacks that include milk alternatives are consumed at home, and 7% are consumed at a restaurant or foodservice outlet. Plant-based foods represent less than 1% of all foods shipped by broad-line distributors to commercial and non-commercial foodservice outlets.
- The online channel is expected to be the fastest-growing distribution channel in the off-trade segment. It is projected to register a Y-o-Y growth of 28%, by value, during 2023-2025. Convenience is the primary motivation for 61.1% of shoppers who have transitioned to shopping for more groceries online. This growth is due to the increasing number of smartphone users, which increased by 11 million between 2020 and 2021. Around 45% of the population browses online websites through mobile devices.
| Distribution Channel | Off-Trade | By Sub Distribution Channels | Convenience Stores |
| Online Retail | |||
| Specialist Retailers | |||
| Supermarkets and Hypermarkets | |||
| Others (Warehouse clubs, gas stations, etc.) | |||
| Country | Canada | ||
| Mexico | |||
| United States |
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Market Definition
- Dairy Alternatives - Dairy alternatives are foods that are made from plant-based milk/oils instead of their usual animal products, such as cheese, butter, milk, ice cream, yogurt, etc. Plant-based or non-dairy milk alternative is the fast-growing segment in the newer food product development category of functional and specialty beverage across the globe.
- Non-Dairy Butter - Non dairy butter is a vegan butter alternative that is made from a mixture of plant oils. With an increase in alternative diets like vegetarianism, veganism, and gluten intolerance, plant butter is a healthy non-dairy substitute for normal butter.
- Non-Dairy Ice Cream - Plant based ice cream is a growing category. Non-dairy ice cream is a type of dessert made without any animal ingredients. This is typically considered a substitute for regular ice cream for those who cannot or do not eat animal or animal-derived products, including eggs, milk, cream, or honey.
- Plant-Based Milk - Plant based milks are milk substitutes that are made from nuts (e.g., hazelnuts, hemp seeds), seeds (e.g., sesame, walnuts, coconuts, cashews, almonds, rice, oats, etc.) or legumes (e.g., soy). Plant-based milk such as soy milk and almond milk have been popular in East Asia and the Middle East for centuries.
| Keyword | Definition |
|---|---|
| Cultured Butter | Cultured butter is prepared by having the raw butter go through chemical processing and has been added with certain emulsifiers and foreign ingredients. |
| Uncultured Butter | This type of butter is one which has not been processed in any way |
| Natural Cheese | The type of cheese in its most natural form. It is made from natural and simple products and ingredients, including fresh and natural salts, natural colors, enzymes, and high-quality milk. |
| Processed Cheese | Processed cheese undergoes the same processes as natural cheese; however, it requires more steps and many different forms of ingredients. Making processed cheese involves melting natural cheese, emulsifying it, and adding preservatives and other artificial ingredients or colorings. |
| Single Cream | Single cream contains around 18% fat. It’s a single layer of cream that appears over boiled milk. |
| Double Cream | Double cream contains 48% fat, more than double the amount of fat of single cream. It’s heavier and thicker than single cream |
| Whipping Cream | This has a much higher fat percentage than single cream (36%). Used to top cakes, pies, and puddings and as a thickener for sauces, soups, and fillings. |
| Frozen Desserts | Desserts that are meant to be eaten in frozen condition. E.g., sherbets, sorbets, frozen yogurts |
| UHT Milk (Ultra-high temperature milk) | Milk heated at a very high temperature. Ultra-high-temperature processing (UHT) of milk involves heating for 1–8 sec at 135–154°C. which kills the spore-forming pathogenic microorganism, resulting in a product with a shelf-life of several months. |
| Non-dairy butter/Plant-based butter | Butter made from plant-derived oil such as coconut, palm, etc. |
| Non-dairy Yogurt | Yogurt made from typically made from nuts, like almonds, cashews, coconuts, and even other foods like soybeans, plantains, oats, and peas |
| On-trade | It refers to restaurants, QSRs, and bars. |
| Off-trade | It refers to supermarkets, hypermarkets, on-line channels, etc. |
| Neufchatel cheese | One of the oldest kinds of cheese in France. It is a soft, slightly crumbly, mold-ripened, bloomy-rind cheese made in the Neufchâtel-en-Bray region of Normandy. |
| Flexitarian | It refers to a consumer preferring a semi-vegetarian diet, that is centered on plant foods with limited or occasional inclusion of meat. |
| Lactose Intolerance | Lactose intolerance is a reaction in digestive system to lactose, the sugar in milk. It causes uncomfortable symptoms in response to the consumption of dairy products. |
| Cream Cheese | Cream cheese is a soft and creamy fresh cheese with a tangy taste made from milk and cream. |
| Sorbets | Sorbet is a frozen dessert made using ice combined with fruit juice, fruit purée, or other ingredients, such as wine, liqueur, or honey. |
| Sherbet | Sherbet is a sweetened frozen dessert made with fruit and some sort of dairy product such as milk or cream. |
| Shelf stable | Foods that can be safely stored at room temperature, or "on the shelf," for at least one year and do not have to be cooked or refrigerated to eat safely. |
| DSD | Direct Store Delivery is the process in supply chain management wherein the product is delivered from manufacturing plant directly to the retailer. |
| OU Kosher | Orthodox Union Kosher is a kosher certification agency based in New York City. |
| Gelato | Gelato is a frozen creamy dessert made with milk, heavy cream and sugar. |
| Grass-fed Cows | Grass-fed cows are allowed to graze in pastures, where they eat a variety of grasses and clover. |
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Research Methodology
Mordor Intelligence follows a four-step methodology in all our reports.
- Step-1: Identify Key Variables: In order to build a robust forecasting methodology, the variables and factors identified in Step 1 are tested against available historical market numbers. Through an iterative process, the variables required for market forecast are set, and the model is built on the basis of these variables.
- Step-2: Build a Market Model: Market-size estimations for the forecast years are in nominal terms. Inflation is not a part of the pricing, and the average selling price (ASP) is kept constant throughout the forecast period for each country.
- Step-3: Validate and Finalize: In this important step, all market numbers, variables, and analyst calls are validated through an extensive network of primary research experts from the market studied. The respondents are selected across levels and functions to generate a holistic picture of the market studied.
- Step-4: Research Outputs: Syndicated Reports, Custom Consulting Assignments, Databases & Subscription Platforms
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