North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Size
| Study Period | 2021 - 2029 |
| Base Year For Estimation | 2023 |
| Forecast Data Period | 2024 - 2029 |
| Historical Data Period | 2021 - 2022 |
| CAGR | 60.00 % |
| Market Concentration | High |
Major Players
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order |
North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis
The market for renewable aviation fuel in North America is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 60% during the forecast period of 2022 - 2027.
COVID-19 negatively impacted the market in 2020. Presently the market has now reached pre-pandemic levels.
- Supportive government policies such as the introduction of carbon offsetting and reduction scheme for international aviation (CORSIA), by ICAO (International Civil Aviation Organization) and potential economic advantages along with the long-term growth in the aviation industry such as increasing number of air passengers, on account of the cheaper airfare and more robust economic conditions with increasing disposable income are the major factors that are expected to drive the market during the forecast period.
- On the other hand, the high cost of renewable aviation fuels is expected to hinder market growth.
- Increasing concerns over emissions from the airline industry and government initiatives in developed economies to reduce airline emissions are expected to provide significant opportunities for renewable aviation fuel in the future.
- United States is expected to be the largest market during the forecast period, owing to the vast number of production facilities like Fulcrum Sierra Biofuels of gasification, FT technology, etc., present in the country.
North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Trends
This section covers the major market trends shaping the North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market according to our research experts:
Defense Sector to be the Fastest-Growing Segment
- The defense sector consumes a large amount of aviation fuel. For instance, In North America, on average, the United States military burns about 4.8 billion gallons of jet fuel and diesel each year. Nearly half of that goes to the Air Force and around one-third to the Navy.
- Moreover, the military sector seeks to improve the environmental performance of its aircraft fleets and reduce environmental emissions. Biofuels are considered a way to maintain secure fuel sources and reduce cost volatility while supporting the country's environmental initiatives, leading to market growth in North America.
- As part of the United States Air Force's goal of achieving half of its domestic fuel that needs to be drawn from alternative sources, the military and commercial airlines tested alcohol-to-jet (ATJ) fuel on A-10 ground attack aircraft.
- Renewable fuel production is getting a hard push from many federal agencies, including the United States Department of Energy (DOE) and the Federal Aviation Administration, for large-scale commercialization, which, in turn, drives the demand for the renewable aviation fuel market in North America.
- The defense sector consumes a large amount of aviation fuel. For instance, on average, the US Air Force consumes approximately 4.8 billion gallons of aviation fuel annually, about 81% of the total Air Force energy budget. Nearly half of that goes to the Air Force and around one-third to the Navy. Therefore, as the budget increases for the defense sector, the air force fleet is expected to increase, positively affecting the aviation fuel market.
- Further, companies, such as Honeywell, use the renewable jet fuel process technology for the United States Navy and Air Force as part of a joint program for the United States Defense Energy Support Center (DESC) for alternative fuel testing and certification.
- Therefore, such increasing development in the aviation fuel sector and the need to cut carbon emissions are expected to drive the renewable aviation fuel market in the defense sector during the forecast period.
United States to Dominate the Market
- North America is one of the largest markets for the aviation industry and renewable aviation fuel. In 2021, air passenger transport in the United States carried more than 674 million air passengers, which was approximately 82.5% more than in 2020. Countries such as the United States and Canada accounted for the major share in air passenger count in 2021.
- In January 2022, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued proposed volume requirements, under the RFS program, for cellulosic biofuel, advanced biofuel, and total renewable fuel for 2022. Under this, the renewable fuel standard for 2022 was set at 36 billion gallons, an increment of over 3 billion gallons over the previous year.
- Further, the existing framework of fuel policies in North America is expected to support hydro-processed esters and fatty acids (HEFA) fuel production shortly, thereby increasing the opportunities for HEFA fuel producers in the region.
- The military sector of the United States has also initiated various strategies to blend biofuels with conventional petroleum for its aircraft, to adopt a cleaner fuel. For instance, in October 2021, the United States Air Force, in collaboration with Twelve, announced that they had completed the pilot program for the conversion of carbon dioxide into viable jet fuel.
- The military sector of the United States has also started to blend biofuels with conventional petroleum for its aircraft to adopt a cleaner fuel. The United States Department of Energy (DOE) co-funded the construction of three integrated bio-refineries that can produce hydrocarbon fuels that meet military specifications for JP-5 (jet fuel used primarily by the US Navy), JP-8 (jet fuel used mostly by the US Air Force), or F-76 (diesel), thus, driving the demand for aviation fuel market in coming years.
- In December 2021, Aemetis signed an agreement to Purchase a 125-Acre Former US Army Facility to produce 90 million gallons of sustainable aviation fuel, renewable diesel, and another byproduct per year. The plant is expected to supply the US Military trucks and airforce with ultra-low carbon renewable fuels to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and other pollutants associated with conventional petroleum-based fuels. Thus, such initiatives are likely to increase demand for sustainable aviation fuel in the military sector during the forecast period.
- Therefore, based on the above-mentioned factors, the United States is expected to have a positive impact on the renewable aviation fuel market during the forecast period.
North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Industry Overview
The North America renewable aviation fuel market is consolidated. Some of the major players include (in no particular order) Total Energies SA, Neste Oyj, Honeywell International Inc., Gevo Inc., and Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc.
North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Leaders
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Neste Oyj
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Honeywell International Inc.
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Gevo Inc.
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Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc.
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Total Energies SA
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market News
- March 2022: Aemetis Inc announced that it agreed with Qantas Airways Limited to supply 20 million liters of blended renewable aviation fuel from 2025. The blended fuel will be produced at a facility in California and will primarily be used to power Boeing and Airbus planes being operated between the countries.
- January 2022: Airbus SE announced that it had commenced manufacturing aircraft from its US-based facility. All the aircraft manufactured at the location will operate on a blend of renewable aviation fuel and conventional jet fuel.
North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Report - Table of Contents
1. INTRODUCTION
- 1.1 Scope of the Study
- 1.2 Market Definition
- 1.3 Study Assumptions
2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
4. MARKET OVERVIEW
- 4.1 Introduction
- 4.2 Market Size and Demand Forecast in USD billion, till 2027
- 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
- 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
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4.5 Market Dynamics
- 4.5.1 Drivers
- 4.5.2 Restraints
- 4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
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4.7 Porter Five Forces
- 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
- 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
- 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
- 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes Products and Services
- 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
5. MARKET SEGMENTATION
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5.1 Technology
- 5.1.1 Fischer-Tropsch (FT)
- 5.1.2 Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA)
- 5.1.3 Synthesisized Iso-Paraffinic (SIP) and Alcohol-to-Jet (AJT)
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5.2 Application
- 5.2.1 Commercial
- 5.2.2 Defense
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5.3 Geography
- 5.3.1 United States
- 5.3.2 Canada
- 5.3.3 Rest of North America
6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
- 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
- 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
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6.3 Company Profiles
- 6.3.1 Total Energies SA
- 6.3.2 Neste Oyj
- 6.3.3 Red Rock Biofuels LLC
- 6.3.4 Honeywell International Inc.
- 6.3.5 Gevo Inc.
- 6.3.6 Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc.
- 6.3.7 SG Preston Company
- 6.3.8 LanzaTech Inc.
- *List Not Exhaustive
7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS
** Subject To AvailablityNorth America Renewable Aviation Fuel Industry Segmentation
The renewable aviation fuel (RAF) market studied in the report includes the production of renewable aviation fuel. RAF is produced by blending conventional kerosene with renewable hydrocarbon. RAFs are being produced through technologies certified by the American society for testing and materials (ASTM) to reduce aviation emissions. Europe's renewable aviation fuel market is segmented by technology, application, and geography. By technology, the market is segmented into fischer-tropsch (FT), hydro-processed esters and fatty Acids (HEFA), and synthesized iso-paraffinic (SIP) and alcohol-to-jet (AJT). By application, the market is segmented by commercial and defense. The report also covers the market size and forecasts for the renewable aviation fuel market across major regions. For each segment, the market sizing and forecasts have been done based on revenue (USD Billion).
| Technology | Fischer-Tropsch (FT) |
| Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA) | |
| Synthesisized Iso-Paraffinic (SIP) and Alcohol-to-Jet (AJT) | |
| Application | Commercial |
| Defense | |
| Geography | United States |
| Canada | |
| Rest of North America |
North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Research FAQs
What is the current North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market size?
The North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market is projected to register a CAGR of greater than 60% during the forecast period (2024-2029)
Who are the key players in North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market?
Neste Oyj , Honeywell International Inc., Gevo Inc., Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc. and Total Energies SA are the major companies operating in the North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market.
What years does this North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market cover?
The report covers the North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market historical market size for years: 2021, 2022 and 2023. The report also forecasts the North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market size for years: 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029.
North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Industry Report
Statistics for the 2024 North America Renewable Aviation Fuel market share, size and revenue growth rate, created by Mordor Intelligence™ Industry Reports. North America Renewable Aviation Fuel analysis includes a market forecast outlook to 2029 and historical overview. Get a sample of this industry analysis as a free report PDF download.
