China Residential Real Estate Market Size (2024 - 2029)

The China Residential Real Estate Market is experiencing significant challenges, with new home prices declining at an unprecedented rate due to factors such as COVID-19 restrictions and broader industry issues. In response to a deepening contraction, Chinese authorities have implemented measures to support the sector, including extending loan maturities for developers and reducing down payment requirements. Despite these efforts, the market's scale has been adversely affected, as buyer confidence remains low amid economic uncertainties and strict pandemic controls. The recent easing of these controls has provided a slight boost, potentially influencing market dynamics moving forward.

Market Size of China Residential Real Estate Industry

China Residential Real Estate Market Summary
Study Period 2020 - 2029
Base Year For Estimation 2023
Forecast Data Period 2024 - 2029
Historical Data Period 2020 - 2022
CAGR (2024 - 2029) 5.00 %
Market Concentration Medium

Major Players

China Residential Real Estate Market Major Players

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

China Residential Real Estate Market Analysis

The China Residential Real Estate Market is expected to register a CAGR of less than 5% during the forecast period.

The Chinese residential real estate market is expected to register a CAGR greater than 5% during the forecast period (2023-2028).

  • China's new home prices decreased at their fastest pace in over seven years in October 2022, weighed down by COVID-19 curbs and industry-wide problems, reflecting a deepening contraction that prompted authorities to ramp up support for the sector. New home prices slumped 1.6% year-on-year after a 1.5% fall in September 2022. That was the biggest annual drop since August 2015 and the sixth month of contraction. Home prices in 100 cities fell for the sixth month in December 2022, declining 0.08% from a month earlier after falling 0.06% in November 2022.
  • Chinese authorities are making their biggest effort yet to end a crisis in the country's vast real estate sector that has weighed heavily on the economy in 2022. Key measures include allowing banks to extend maturing loans to developers, supporting property sales by reducing the size of down payments and cutting mortgage rates, boosting other funding channels such as bond issues, and ensuring the delivery of pre-sold homes to buyers. In August 2020, the government began trying to rein in excessive borrowing by developers to curb runaway house prices. The problems escalated in 2021 when Evergrande - the nation's second-largest developer - defaulted on its debt. As the property sector crashed, several major companies sought protection from their creditors. The cash crunch meant that work on many pre-sold housing projects across the country was delayed or suspended.
  • The crisis entered a new phase in the summer of 2022 when angry home buyers refused to pay mortgages on unfinished homes, roiling financial markets and sparking fears of contagion. Since then, authorities have tried to defuse the crisis by urging banks to increase loan support for developers so that they can complete projects. Regulators have also cut interest rates in a bid to restore buyer confidence. However, the property slump persisted as buyers backed away from the market because of the weak economy and strict Covid curbs.
  • In October 2022, sales by the 100 biggest real estate developers contracted 26.5% from a year ago. From January to November 2022, their sales have fallen by 43%. However, the property sector has also been boosted slightly after Beijing abruptly dropped its strict zero-Covid policy in early December, which could lure consumers back to the market.

China Residential Real Estate Industry Segmentation

Residential real estate is an area developed for people to live in and cannot be used for commercial or industrial purposes. It emerges when land sanctioned for residential use is purchased by someone, which becomes real property and encompasses a large variety of potential dwellings, from houses to houseboats and from neighborhood types ranging from the poorest slum to the wealthiest suburban subdivision. The report focuses on the market dynamics, technological trends, insights, and government initiatives in the residential real estate sector. Furthermore, it analyzes the key players present in the market and the competitive landscape in the Chinese residential real estate market. China's residential real estate market is segmented by type ( villas and landed houses, apartments, and condominiums) and by city (Shenzhen, Beijing, Shanghai, Hangzhou, Guangzhou, and other cities). The report offers the market sizes and forecasts for the China residential real estate market in value (USD) for all the above segments.

By Type
Apartments & Condominiums
Villas & Landed Houses
By Key Cities
Shenzhen
Beijing
Shanghai
Hangzhou
Guangzhou
Other Key Cities
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China Residential Real Estate Market Size Summary

The China residential real estate market is navigating a complex landscape marked by significant challenges and strategic interventions. The market has experienced a notable contraction, with new home prices declining sharply due to factors such as COVID-19 restrictions and excessive borrowing by developers. This downturn prompted Chinese authorities to implement a series of supportive measures aimed at stabilizing the sector. These measures include extending loan maturities for developers, reducing down payment requirements, and cutting mortgage rates to encourage property sales and restore buyer confidence. Despite these efforts, the market has faced persistent weakness, exacerbated by economic slowdowns and strict pandemic controls, leading to a cautious outlook for the sector's recovery.

Urbanization continues to be a key driver of demand in the residential real estate market, with a significant portion of the population migrating to urban areas. This trend has led to increased demand for housing in first-tier cities, where property prices remain high, making homeownership challenging for newcomers. The market is characterized by a competitive landscape with numerous local and international players, including major developers like China Vanke Co. Ltd and Country Garden Holdings Company Limited. The presence of foreign capital and international funds is encouraging domestic developers to pursue joint ventures, enhancing their financial strength and management capabilities. Despite the ongoing challenges, strategic partnerships and government interventions are expected to play a crucial role in shaping the market's trajectory over the forecast period.

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China Residential Real Estate Market Size - Table of Contents

  1. 1. MARKET INSIGHTS

    1. 1.1 Current Market scenario

    2. 1.2 Residential Real Estate Buying Trends - Socioeconomic and Demographic Insights

    3. 1.3 Government Initiatives and Regulatory Aspects for Residential Real Estate Sector

    4. 1.4 Insights on Size of Real Estate Lending and Loan to Value Trends

    5. 1.5 Insights on Interest Rate Regime for General Economy, and Real Estate Lending

    6. 1.6 Insights on Rental Yields in Residential Real Estate Segment

    7. 1.7 Insights on Capital Market Penetration and REIT Presence in Residential Real Estate

    8. 1.8 Insights on Affordable Housing Support Provided by Government and Public-private Partnerships

    9. 1.9 Insights on Real Estate Tech Start-ups Active in the Real Estate Segment (Broking, Social Media, Facility Management, and Property Management)

    10. 1.10 Impact of COVID-19 on the market

  2. 2. MARKET SEGMENTATION

    1. 2.1 By Type

      1. 2.1.1 Apartments & Condominiums

      2. 2.1.2 Villas & Landed Houses

    2. 2.2 By Key Cities

      1. 2.2.1 Shenzhen

      2. 2.2.2 Beijing

      3. 2.2.3 Shanghai

      4. 2.2.4 Hangzhou

      5. 2.2.5 Guangzhou

      6. 2.2.6 Other Key Cities

China Residential Real Estate Market Size FAQs

The China Residential Real Estate Market is projected to register a CAGR of less than 5% during the forecast period (2024-2029)

China Vanke Co., Ltd., China State Construction Engineering Corporation, Country Garden Holdings Company Limited, China Resources Land Limited and Sunac China Holdings Limited are the major companies operating in the China Residential Real Estate Market.

China Residential Real Estate Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)